There is no safe way to make money

In pips units like martingale and such

We developed various ideas aimed at making profits safely

There is no absolute holy grail

If there were an absolute holy grail

It would be “to apply logic to the market,” that is the holy grail. There is nothing else

However, even those cannot be the holy grail because the market itself is not absolute

That is the truth of the holy grail

This is, after all, my own understanding of the truth of the holy grail

There may truly be a holy grail, but I would keep it to myself and take it to the grave, as most people would

There would be no merit

Regarding applying logic to the market

It must be a logic that can adapt to subsequent movements

If you fail, you must adapt appropriately to that market as well

“Always apply logic that is appropriate to the market.” That is what can become a holy grail

It can become one, so to speak; in truth it is not a holy grail, so please note just that

As for the logic

Utilize a low-lot averaging (nampin) with a hedged, one-side trading concept

In that way, for example

The opposite, low-lot pyramiding

Or performing a single-shot stop-loss trade

Or making a single-shot reverse move

I think these four concepts are mainly usable as trading logic

This is based on my own market view

Notes on nampin

Trading with one-side nampin to cut losses and take profits

Simultaneously lags behind a one-shot trade in profitability

When the market turns in a definite direction,

With nampin the idea is

Unlike one-shot, profits become smaller

And losses increase by the amplified nampin portion when the trend appears

Therefore, “the final profit is smaller.”

Of course there are times when it works well,

“Profit takes longer to appear,” and

“Losses grow over time if the market continues in a single direction, which is a risk”

Also, nampin is founded on two ideas: to cover losses and to recover to make a profit

Because it aims to “bring back profits,”

If the market returns, losses are reduced

Not many people can adeptly handle nampin by discretion

Because the goal is to bring back profits, you must keep the idea of the market returning

Therefore, generally speaking, you are better off with a stop loss

However, if you use a stop loss, there is no need to nampin

Why is that? Because if you set a stop loss

Then the best is “targeting the trend with a single shot”

The original meaning of using nampin is

“To profit even if no trend emerges,” right?

Yet adding a stop loss seems to lack necessity

So I think you should use hedging and nampin

As a temporary preservation of losses,

When Dow Theory direction changes, realize the profits of the preserved losses and

then perform nampin again with a low-lot to generate profits

And that may not be all

If you perform hedged nampin, when a trending market occurs, you can accumulate unrealized profits

This can sufficiently satisfy profitability

If you continuously adapt nampin to the market, you can maneuver well

Conversely, if you cannot do that, one-shot trading may be more suitable

A contrary approach to nampin is the trend-following pyramid stacking

In the first place, it is “possible to practice with a single shot,” so there is no particular need

One-shot trades have lower losses and higher profits than trend-following pyramiding

Is one-shot the same as a reversal (ten-ten)?

There are similarities and differences

A reversal continues to move in the trend direction

In one-shot trades you stay faithful to the market, so you can trade in both trend and range

Reversal trades are possible against such markets, but both require a fast pace

One-shot trades have better trading efficiency; whether you profit is another matter

Also, if you do the same trade as one-shot, a reversal delays the stop loss

Stops loss is better because few people can effectively minimize losses, so a stop loss is ultimately better

Therefore there is not much need for reversals

If reversing to reverse, placing a stop loss is the safer option of the two

As for the logic impression

Trend-following pyramid ×

Short-term and medium-term one-shot trades good

Hedging with low-lot nampin that adapts to the market good

Medium-term reversals with △

That is about it

This is just my perspective

In the market

When a genuine trending market appears

The holy grail is to have a logic that can produce both one-shot and nampin profits as part of a combined approach

My summary of the holy grail

If there were an absolute holy grail, it would be “applying logic to the market,” nothing else

However, since the market itself is not absolute, it cannot be the holy grail; that is the truth of the holy grail

This is, for now, the truth of the holy grail as I know it; there may truly be a holy grail, but I would take it to the grave

To apply logic to the market, the logic must also be able to adapt to subsequent movements

If the market fails, you must adapt properly to that market

“Always apply logic that is appropriate to the market” — that is what can become a holy grail

It is possible, but not a true holy grail, so be aware of that

Applying logic to the market

Apply appropriate logic to market patterns

Even if you fail, restructure the logic to be appropriate for the market

That is about it

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