The moment I started to make a profit with FX = the day I stopped chasing the market
I have now become able to increase capital through FX
There are profitable days and losing days, but overall I always make a profit
That happened because
I stopped chasing the market
I stopped trying to extract profit from the market
It sounds contradictory, but due to the nature of money games, this kind of thinking brings the most profit
Profit came from losing my greed
If you lose greed, you become indifferent to profit and loss
And results come, so you end up winning
Now
What does it mean to not chase the market? The know-how pursuing that idea is what this content covers
Trades I used to do in the past
A method that takes advantage of both trends and ranges
Riding the trend in trending markets
Averaging down on reversals
And so on — I have tried both winning and losing trading logics
But during that period, regardless of length, total profits did not last
Something always goes wrong at some point
If you trade with high risk, your results show it clearly, but
Since I was trading with reduced risk,
I didn’t notice the decline as clearly, so my realization came late
After realizing it, years passed and I regretted that previous trading history had become wasted
The more proactive you are, the more you lose in the market
An aggressive approach will ruin you in FX
It also carries more risk
This isn’t simply about not taking on risk or taking on less risk
To put it plainly, it’s about the number of losses versus the number of profits
Even if you have one big profit crash,
if there are six losses beforehand,
it results in a losing outcome
Being aggressive means
In the market, that is a trading approach with zero market sense, so unless you move in the trading direction, you will incur losses
Aggressive trading = trades with no basis in the market direction tend to be losses
This means that no matter how much profit you accumulate, when the tendency for losses is high, the results inevitably drift toward the negative
Therefore
You should adopt trading and trading logics that have a clear basis for moving
Only with that can you produce winning trades
An aggressive mindset does not exist in the market
An aggressive mindset lies in presenting a basis for market direction
When entering, think about the basis for the market's movement
This applies to both trend-following and counter-trend approaches
Both have advantages and disadvantages,
Please use the logic you want
There are various trend-following and counter-trend logics
Here, I’ll consider them as trend or range logics
In the trend logic
Where does the motive for movement come from?
In volatile volatility periods
Look for trend formation across multiple timeframes
Check that a trend is really forming on the timeframe you trade
And so on
I focus obsessively on the trend
But I don’t look for direct, obvious trend factors
I always pay attention to the parts that form the trick behind the trend
The direct trigger has a mechanism behind it
By confirming that mechanism, you can find the basis for movement
The range logic is mostly the same
If you understand the mechanism behind market moves
you look at the part that moves on that mechanism and, if confident, trade accordingly
Trade frequency should be moderately restrained
Being too aggressive won’t produce profits
In aggressive trading, profits tend to be highly dependent on luck
Always find and grasp the basis
More than thinking up ideas or logics
Keep it simple with stop-loss trading and a one-shot trade
This prevents the old habit of losing from resurfacing
This approach is also like the investment rule: “For a year, don’t lose.”
Profitable trades come from not losing
In other words
If you can’t win, you have become used to not winning trades
There are emotional causes and other factors, but the biggest factor is still habits
To break that habit and to avoid losses, you should use a strategy that is emotionally neutral and evenly balanced
Do not engage in averaging down or double-hedging and doubling trades
If you trade by following greed, it becomes a weakness when you have a losing habit
You will end up losing quickly
For not losing trades, the condition is
A method that does not skew results, such as evenly balanced stop-loss trades and one-shot trades
(Fixed losses with small losses and unlimited profits with one-shot trades) A method that ultimately yields profits
However, do not trade with the intention to make money
Fixing losses or repeatedly incurring losses makes your mindset fragile
Anyone can repeat losses, but
After several losses, you tend to evaluate profits in terms of plus or minus
At that time, you need the decisiveness to lock in profits when the market is weak
With that decisiveness, the plus/minus results come together
Be decisive in securing profits and handling gains and losses
Markets that collapse midway do not allow profits to extend (profit-extend markets)
Trading one-shot trades or applying it to stop-loss trades can reduce unnecessary losses more than stop-loss trades
Stop-loss trades where profits extend
Usually use one-shot trades
In this way
In my sense, it is better to trade only where profits extend
However, if you think in terms of head and tail,
From head to body
From body to tail
You’ll trade either from the head or the tail
Participating midway means
You can sense from past markets when you’ve strayed from the concept of following the trend
You can anticipate the factors that cause a trend to become larger from past markets
Trading from the body to the tail makes it easier to sense bigger trends
Trading from the head to the body
Has a higher likelihood of a breakout-based motive
If you can anticipate breakout-based momentum, aim for the head to the body only
If you try to target the head to the tail, it becomes a swing trade on a four-hour or daily chart
Entry opportunities decrease, so only those who can endure long-term should do this
Also
Do not always stay in the market
That is because the market moves greatly on indicator releases; paying attention to indicator releases is fine, but
Constantly staying in the market leads to many inexplicable markets
Trading every moment is like swing trading in a long-term position, so please use it accordingly
The framework for earning in the market
Efficiency
A method that can be continued
Reproducibility
This must be a concept that can be consistently applied as routine treading
Because you will be in the market for a long time, your logic must also be capable of increasing capital over time
Logic is not a matter of parameters
Market forces are the logic = breakout market targeting (head-to-body theory) and large trend markets (body-to-tail theory) and so on
The same trade repeated is the secret to winning
You might think “Is that all?” but “Yes, really, that’s all”
There is only one or two logics; even if there are more, they cannot be effectively utilized
We will use one or two; that’s all
Unless you are using an EA, manual trading is more efficient with two or fewer logics
To avoid confusing market views and market recognition, keep the logics to one or two only
Three or more logics cannot be harmonized (e.g., perfectly opposite logics like counter-trend and trend-following)
Both market and logic will inevitably break down
Reproducibility and efficiency are essential; it’s about a routine that can be continuously capitalized on
Breakouts and large-trend markets are the classics, aiming to exploit the imbalance between buying and selling makes them easy to trade
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