Trading is just probabilistic thinking

Probability thinking, or rather

it's originally gambling, so I'm just doing it with risk control

no matter how you struggle, you can't escape from a framework that feels like gambling

it's better to acknowledge that

and

trades that should be deeply considered and trades that can be responded to reflexively

exist in the market

no matter what trading logic you bring

the market will come in the same way

the trades that should be deeply considered and the trades that can be responded to reflexively

this really happens with any logic

where you’re losing

is usually in the trades that should be deeply considered

and you lose there

in counter-trend averaging down (nampin)

the trend is a trade that should be deeply considered

in the trend-following approach

the trend is a trade that can be responded to reflexively

at a point that relates to profit and loss

moments like that will come

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