Trade should strive for perfection
Trading is said to fail if you seek perfection, but that is not the case
In theory, you won’t grow unless you don’t seek perfection in the first place
What’s important is simply to minimize elements that cause losses like averaging down as much as possible
Seeking perfection isn’t bad; what’s important is to systematize it into a theory
Trades that are said to be perfect
Trend reversal and averaging down—this is what I think the trading logic is about
In the end, in the market you have to wait like a snail for time to pass
・you won’t know when the market shifts
・you won’t know if the direction is correct in the first place
(so, the image is that when you don’t know the direction you’re averaging down or reversing; results end up losing)
If you can’t believe this,
you’ll understand by adding a pips-interval indicator and a time-interval indicator
you’ll inevitably notice the importance of time and price
and then, eventually you settle on waiting three hours or
trading after waiting for the right time
because that’s still more efficient
Breakouts and follow-ups aren’t that different
During the times you don’t know the direction,
most entries are breaks or follow-ups
So, if you’re trading that way, it’s better to use automated trading entries
If you dislike waiting for time
then trading must add meaning
Then again
It tends to be trend-following or momentum-trading type
If you only do averaging-down, as a contrarian you’ll just lose, as the pips indicator shows
Averaging-down
Is more efficient to do 1 down and pyramid
You have no choice but to wait for time and then re-check the trade
So it’s better to be part-time than full-time
Also, since momentum trading ultimately means “believing in one side,”
naturally it won’t tilt toward profit
This is optimal for momentum trading
Even by looking at the market with the Envelopes + Williams%R combination, you can see it
Whether gold or the GBP/JPY,
the market will produce favorable momentum signals depending on market conditions
For example, recently with gold
If you use the simple momentum signal of Envelopes + Williams%
after nearly 30 losses
about 5 positions have around 30–40 wins
so effectively +150 to +200
If until then you were at about -30 to -50,
it seems like a quite profitable logic
However, looking at the previous market, such big trends are rare
In the end you have to trade by believing in the trend
There was a time when scalping trend following was good, but
Ultimately what you’re doing is
holding positions for profits in this trend market
Only by aiming for initial breakouts, initial follow-ups, or reversal points
can you aim
Moreover, no matter how much the market version changes
these three things will eternally appear
Therefore, the idea of following the trend is correct
The idea of a trend is also correct
The question is whether you can truly continue trading until that trend appears
So ultimately, aiming for market reversals
waiting for time and trading is becoming the safe approach
Is reverse-martingale meaningful
Reverse martingale
If you do 2:1, two consecutive wins yield +8
It becomes meaningful when combined with range and staircase trades
The most suitable trading logic for trends
Envelope
Williams
Both 25
Envelope width is 0.03
That’s all
Then wait one hour, and if a trend appears, leave one position in that direction; that’s all
※For those who want to keep earning from FX, see below
× ![]()