The market has neither a correct answer nor a clear direction from the start

Let me start by saying this

There is no correct answer or perfect method from the very beginning in the market

Because if there were a correct method, automatic trading would increase capital immediately

However, with automatic trading you need to use money management to grow

In other words, the market appears to behave like a random walk

Moreover, it acts in ways that do not encourage increasing the number of automatic-trading logics

Indeed it moves with trends, but

you don’t know when it will move

and firstly, the move into that trend is not accurate

So it’s a simple matter

If you chase the trend with trend-following, you’ll lose a lot

This means that when the trend is not an accurate movement, you’ll take a lot of stop losses

Quite straightforward, isn’t it

The same thing happens with contrarian trading; that’s all there is to it

In other words, there is no superhuman win or flawless method in automatic trading

The monthly return is at best around 4%

5% monthly is the maximum profit you can expect

When considering drawdown

Because the market continuously produces scenarios where neither trend-following nor contrarian nor ranging strategies work

If that happens, even if you diversify logics in automatic trading, you’ll still lose

That’s where drawdown comes into play

With drawdown, even low-risk approaches can reach around 18%

The most you would expect from a reliable logic is to reach that level

Even stable logics can reach that level

But a stable logic is

one that has both trend-following and contrarian trading with calm, settled limits

In other words, it’s about universal market interactions

Forex street, in particular, encourages such trades

Therefore, even if performance is sluggish, you can still generate profits

Essentially, the market is

dependent on the market, but that conditioning strongly influences outcomes

A market-dependent approach is

based on the market’s movements, after all

It is driven by the relationship between price and time

Technical analysis or

It’s not rooted in the ideas of trend-following or contrarian or trend

For autonomous trading to achieve stable logic, there tends to be

more trends

Ranging markets require you to time entries

However, trends are easier to time

The reason is

After breaking out of a range, a trend occurs

In other words, you can avoid entering inside the entire box

You gain an advantage by avoiding unnecessary entries

And, to return to the initial topic

I said there is no correct answer in the market

This means that a trend does not necessarily occur

To put it differently,

Even when you break out of such a box and trade the trend, you will still experience continued losses in some markets

Moreover, markets where the trend does not continue will keep appearing

Therefore, there is no correct answer in the market

So, if you consider that some markets end midway

Every logic will incur drawdown

Even with diversified logics

During drawdown, all diversified logics lose proportionally

The idea that there is no correct answer in the market means

Be cautious of simplistic trading viewpoints

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