Explain from the perspectives of safe operation and capital increase using trend following and binary options
Why does only trend following win in the market?
Mean reversion and trend following have opposite risk and return outcomes
When returns come back later, they come back as even greater profits
In other words, it means you should mainly target with trend following
From the perspective of binary ladder
Risk is reduced, returns change, you can take partial profits along the way
Ladder is still investment-like
Because of reduced risk + return rate + partial profits, averaging down is useful and there’s no reason not to use it
If you do this in FX, you are bound to lose
Because latent risks are present
In other words, discretion should be limited to the ladder
Binary is probably just a name for covering losses of other assets with puts
I think it only leads to losses; you can't actually cover
Options are the same, they can't be called real hedges
Risk-reward changes so much that it becomes hard to manage
Binary is
characteristic of gambling
There are profit zones, recovery zones, and miracle zones
Profits keep piling up, but they are recovered in the recovery zone
There’s only a miracle zone where you can win by a miracle
From the fundamental structure, gambling-specific properties exist
To make binary an investment
Under the rules of H*** and ladder, it must be a strategy that reliably increases, otherwise it’s just gambling
Because binary is gambling in logic, you cannot escape gambling from within
Unless you have a strategy that consistently grows every week, binary is wasteful
If you adopt averaging down, you won’t make money
Letting it go with partial profits is gambling
If the payout is too low relative to risk, it’s gambling
Leaving it to the market is gambling
If you’re simply averaging down, binary is a waste of time; don’t do it
Just let automated trading handle it; profits and losses are all luck
A averaging-down strategy ends in certain death in a trend, declining to the right
Waste of money, waste of time—that’s gambling
If you can’t increase capital, it’s meaningless
If you intend to increase capital
Just target high leverage, trends, and trend following
It takes a long time, but that’s everything
Also, you should realize you’re surviving in the middle of scalping
Because you can’t know when the market will move
Using a binary-style time limit to decide winners is gambling by nature
If you’re really just thinking about increasing capital, you wouldn’t trade binary at all; you’d simply trade FX honestly
Safety in operation is fundamental
Intuition trading is meaningless; if performance worsens due to intuition, it will keep getting worse
If you’re considering increasing capital
Be safe, be stable, ensure profits, and increase capital through fluctuations
In other words, what is called stability is all derived from averaging down; all of it comes from averaging down
The risk surpasses the return to an extreme that is ridiculous
It’s a waste of time, stop; focus on yourself alone, if you want to increase capital do so safely
Don’t chase stability; chase only profit margins
Then you’ll inevitably realize you must follow trend following
If you don’t follow trend following, you’ll wait and trade with an order
And trying to chase such trends in binary will make you lose terribly
In binary, risk is fixed and returns are fixed, which is why time is wasted
This is the same for H*** and ladder
Because success in binary hinges on win rate, time keeps being wasted
Conversely, binary pairs well with reverse martingale or 1-2-3 systems
Rather than stability
Rather than increasing
Rather than profits
Focus only on that you are increasing capital and that you can preserve it
If you think about increasing profits and stability, you won’t be able to preserve it
The rules rely on the mechanics of increasing capital; anything else ends there, that’s all
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