"Everything Becomes FX" An Unspoken Weekly Trade Vol.045
This "Investment Navigator Plus" is a report delivered every Sunday by those who consider capital management in "Everything becomes FX."
I would like to share money-related things—not limited to FX markets—that I actually hold as weekly positions with a limited audience.
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▼ Table of Contents
―1. Recent Situation
―2. Weekly Trades I Can't Tell Anyone About
―3. Positions for Next Week
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【PR】Turn FX losses into gains using capital management
A trading technique that emphasizes "capital management," which is often neglected in FX.
It becomes possible to trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Situation
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"Everything becomes FX" moves between domestic and international locations about half a month at a time. I would like to inform you about which city I am in now, what I am seeing, and whom I have met to work with domestically.
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This week I am in Hong Kong.
Hong Kong is officially the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China, and while part of China, it operates under a different system (the same goes for Macau).
Therefore, the Great Firewall of China does not hinder access to the Internet as it does in China, and you can use the Internet just like in Japan. When traveling to Shenzhen from Japan, it is common (and cheaper) to fly to Hong Kong first and then take a train or other transport to the border with China rather than flying directly to Shenzhen.
Hong Kong has long been a British colony, so there are many Europeans still there. Shenzhen, on the other hand, has grown rapidly in recent years, and you won't see many non-Chinese foreigners there.
(English is hardly spoken there)
Moreover, Hong Kong has orderly queuing and a well-organized environment, whereas Shenzhen embodies a more "China" image—loud voices, people not lining up—in a way that may be seen as good or bad (I personally like China as well).
Hong Kong is extremely developed, and the cost of living is about the same as, or higher than, Japan. Therefore, staying in a modest hotel often costs 15,000 yen or more per night.
If you’re a family that can indulge in overseas travel every few years, it’s fine, but for those who travel overseas frequently, the benefits may be limited.
Now, this week’s “Weekly Trade I Can’t Tell Anyone About” recorded a rather lonely +31 pips.
That said, market moves can be large or small, and there’s nothing we can do about that. What we can do is keep an ever-ready “net” to catch whatever moves happen.
In FX markets, there are employment statistics, Deutsche Bank, US tariffs, North Korea issues, and other topics, but approach with both trend-following and counter-trend portfolios.
▼2. Weekly Trades I Can't Tell Anyone About
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A weekly trade that uses full capital-management in a trend-following and counter-trend portfolio, termed "Weekly Trades I Can't Tell Anyone About."
Since starting in 2012, there has been no annual loss and total profits exceeding +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to profits despite a 48% win rate? Here we present this week’s trade results.
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• This week’s result: +31 pips
• Cumulative result: +38,248 pips (rounded after decimal)
【Weekly Trade Results】
• Win rate: 50.3%
• Average win: +785 pips
• Average loss: -578 pips
• Maximum win: +13,491 pips
• Maximum loss: -2,932 pips
• PF: 1.37
• PR: 1.36
"Weekly Trades I Can't Tell Anyone About" takes positions with an edge from the hourly, daily, and weekly trends. However, its essence lies more in capital management than in trading itself.
This method has a 50% win rate. It may feel closer to 40% in terms of "felt probability," so those who require a win rate of 80% or more may not be able to practice it. Conversely, those considering long-term profits may find it informative.
