Martingale

Hello. My name is Kitsune no Me (Fox Eye).
This time I am consulting about fraud victims, so I am writing this on note.
I have obtained the consent of the person seeking advice.

1. Martingale

Martingale is, in short,“If you lose, you double the stake until you win.”.
If you enter with 1,000 yen and lose, next you enter with 2,000 yen.
If you enter with 2,000 yen and lose, next you enter with 4,000 yen.

With that pattern, you keep doubling the stake until you win, and this method is called“Martingale”.

Advantage 1. The rules are simple
The Martingale method is a very simple system: when you lose, double the bet.
Even a fool can understand it quickly.

Advantage 2. You can recoup losses with one win
Because you keep increasing the bet even if you lose, the payout when you win becomes large.
Therefore, even after a losing streak, if you win once, you can recover all previous losses.

Advantage 3. The chance of continuing losing is low
Martingale is used in games with double payouts.
The person seeking advice this timewas
BO is“High or Low”, which seems to have a 50% win rate.
In reality, it’s not that simple, but mathematically, you don’t endlessly keep losing.
When playing a double payout game, the probability of consecutive losses decreases as follows.

Looking at this data, it seems certain to win, right?
However, Martingale has major disadvantages.

Disadvantage 1. Profits do not grow much
When you win with Martingale, the profit left in hand is only the initial bet.
If you have a long winning streak, you can gain some profit, but if you alternate losses and wins, you gain only a little profit.

Disadvantage 2. A certain amount of capital is required
The minimum entry for BO is 1,000 yen.
This is for High-Low, though.
Now, how much would you need if you did 10 martingales with 1,000 yen?
Calculated with the High-Low payout rate of “1.85.”

1) 1,000 yen → 1,850 yen (850 yen profit)
2) 2,000 yen → 3,700 yen (700 yen profit)
3) 4,000 yen → 7,400 yen (400 yen profit)
4) 8,000 yen → 14,800 yen (200 yen loss)
5) 16,000 yen → 29,600 yen (1,400 yen loss)
6) 32,000 yen → 59,200 yen (3,800 yen loss)
7) 64,000 yen → 118,400 yen (8,600 yen loss)
8) 128,000 yen → 236,800 yen (18,200 yen loss)
9) 256,000 yen → 473,600 yen (37,400 yen loss)
10) 512,000 yen → 947,200 yen (75,800 yen loss)

Total8,950,00 yenis required.
The risk up to this point is a loss.

2. Grand Martingale

The person seeking advice this time did not use a simple Martingale, but“Grand Martingale”.
Unlike Martingale, which doubles the entry on a loss, this method increases the entry amount by a supplementary amount considering the payout rate.“Plusα”.

The entry amount changes, right?
With this method“4 Martingale”
With 4 Martingale, the win rate is over 93%.
They teach thatand chargea high consulting fee.
This person actually followed this method as told and entered,“60万円”lost and went bankrupt.

From the explanations so far, you should understand how dangerous Martingale is.
Even if probability is low, a single loss can wipe out all profits from before.
Moreover“enormous capital”is required for it to work.

Grand Martingale is more dangerous than Martingalebecause you add more beyond the original amount.
To be frank, anyone who falls for this is someone who cannot do simple arithmetic,
doesn't know their own funds, and has no sense of their standing.

Everyone, please do not get caught.