"Everything Becomes FX" A Weekly Trade Nobody Can Tell Anyone About Vol.043
This "Investment Navigation+" is a report delivered every Sunday by “Everything becomes FX” considering money management.
I would like to share money matters—not limited to FX markets—and weekly positions I actually hold with a limited audience.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Recent Status
―2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
―3. Next week's positions
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【PR】Change FX losses into gains with money management
Trading methods that emphasize "money management," which is often neglected in FX.
You can trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Status
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and overseas about half of each month. I’d like to inform you which city I’m in now, what I’m seeing, and which people I’ve met and worked with in Japan.
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This week I’m in Singapore.
Singapore has grown from a small Southeast Asian country to a place where prices are even higher than in Japan.
In Japan, many criticisms are leveled at various things as “this is wrong” or “that is wrong,” but Singapore seems to cover even the itchy spots.
You can tell that the country’s leaders are taking the lead—growth driven by casinos, automated airports, and urban development. By the way, in Singapore, crossing roads outside crosswalks can incur fines, and eating or drinking on trains can also incur fines, which to Japanese may feel quite strict.
From a Japanese perspective, it may feel like “neighboring countries aren’t following the rules,” while from Singapore’s view, it might feel that “surrounding countries aren’t following the rules.”
What is normal for us is abnormal for others. It reminds us to always view things from a broad perspective.
Now, “Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about” are doing well, +208 pips. They briefly hit a rough patch but soon returned to profitability (the description is a bit odd, but that’s how it is).
There isn’t much destructive power right now, but let’s look forward to another drawdown period. If it comes, we’ll feel the positive shock when we recover all at once, like in the movie The Big Short (though that is an exaggeration).
But only God knows when that will come. Rather than trying to predict an uncertain future, let’s prepare so we can act whenever needed.
Besides, lately the market is showing no clear direction for major currencies, just churning up and down. In such times, range-based financial products tend to become popular.
A certain popular blogger also deals with range-based financial products. However, once a strong trend emerges in one direction, it can be quite challenging, so when you introduce it, you should be prepared.
The important thing is to understand that a "blogger" is someone who writes blogs (the words are clever) and not necessarily someone who handles finance.
So, let’s do our best again this week.
▼2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
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A fully leveraged strategy combining trend-following and counter-trend portfolios with money management in a “Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about.”
Since starting in 2012, we have had no annual losses and have achieved total profits of over +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to profit even with a 48% win rate? Here we present this week’s trade results.
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・This week's result: +208 pips
・All-time result: +37,773 pips (rounded to the nearest whole number)
【Weekly trade results】
・Win rate: 50.3%
・Average win: +785 pips
・Average loss: -578 pips
・Maximum win: +13,491 pips
・Maximum loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.36
“Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about” takes positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly trends. However, its essence lies more in money management than in trading itself.
The win rate of this method is 50%. Because the perceived probability feels about 40%, those who cannot endure unless the win rate is above 80% probably cannot practice it. Conversely, those considering long-term profits may find it informative.
