“Everything Turns into FX” The Weekly Trade You Won’t Tell Anyone About Vol.041
This "Investment Navigator+" is a report delivered every Sunday by "Everything becomes FX" that contemplates capital management.
I would like to share money matters beyond FX markets, and the weekly positional view I actually hold with a limited audience.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Current Status
―2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
―3. Next week’s positions
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【PR】Changing FX losses into wins by using capital management
Trading techniques that emphasize "capital management," which is often neglected in FX.
Trading that isn’t swayed by win rates or methods becomes possible.
▼1. Current Status
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and international locations about half of each month. I’d like to share where I am now, what I’m seeing, and who I’ve met and worked with domestically.
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This week I’m in Okinawa.
Okinawa, which enters the rainy season the earliest in the country, is already summer. It’s incredibly hot compared with months ago. When it’s so warm (hot), it’s easy to imagine Southeast Asian vibes where time slows down a bit, which doesn’t seem unreasonable.
The club opens at 10 PM, and people start gathering after midnight, showing a vibe that’s a few hours later than in Honshu, which is interesting.
Now, I’ll write about “Using capital management to turn FX losses into gains.”
I receive inquiries occasionally, but advice about actual trades is offered as a “bonus” only to those who purchase from my site.
For others, I refrain from replying to reduce workload. Even if I replied, it’s unlikely to lead to good results, and I prefer to choose people I engage with personally.
On a different note, the group that tends to file the most complaints is the “cheap” or “on sale” crowd who want to buy for as little as 1 yen. It’s true that the stereotype of “the rich are mean” shown in dramas doesn’t always hold in reality.
I think the same way, too.
The market has three types: an uptrend, a range, and a downtrend. They can be categorized into two types—trend and range—but for beginners, the tendency is to be good at only the uptrend, so I’ve classified into three (the so-called “hold-for-long” crowd).
Each market type requires different methods to function. Therefore, those who gain media attention are often those aligned with the current market trend (especially those who appear in media).
If I were to be misled by this information and pay high tuition, I’d rather build a portfolio with an understanding that markets have many facets. (This is my own view.)
And to make it even more effective, I’ve introduced “capital management.”
However, this is not necessarily suitable for everyone. It may not suit those who like gambling-like scalping, and those who can’t persevere are out of the question.
Rather, I think it suits those who want to trade steadily, or steadily and calmly.
Now, let’s strive again this week.
▼2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
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A “weekly trade” that fully utilizes capital management in both trend-following and counter-trend portfolios.
Since starting in 2012, there have been no yearly losses and total gains exceed +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to turning a 48% win rate into profits? Here we present this week’s trading results.
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・This week’s result: -4.8 pips
・Total to date: +37,069 pips (rounded)
【Weekly trade results】
・Win rate: 50.3%
・Average win: +785 pips
・Average loss: -578 pips
・Maximum win: +13,491 pips
・Maximum loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.36
“Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about” take positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes and trends. However, its essence lies more in capital management than trading itself.
This method’s win rate is 50%. Because it feels about 40% in practice, anyone who cannot endure unless the win rate is above 80% probably cannot implement it. Conversely, those who can consider long-term profits may find it informative.
