"Everything becomes FX" Week-to-week trades that no one can say Vol.040
This "Investment Navigator Plus" is a report delivered every Sunday by the "Everything becomes FX" fund management team.
It covers money matters not limited to FX markets, and I would like to share my actual weekly position with a limited audience.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Current Situation
―2. Weekly trades no one can know
―3. Next week's positions
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【PR】Turn FX losses into gains by using money management
A trading approach that emphasizes money management, which is often neglected in FX trading.
You can trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Current Situation
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and overseas roughly once a month. I would like to inform you where I am in a city now and what I am looking at, and whom I am meeting and working with domestically.
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This week I am in Tokyo.
For me, I typically spend about half the month in Tokyo and the other half abroad or in smaller towns. While in Tokyo for about half a month, I meet with clients (individuals and corporations) who have trading interests and work at the office as if I were part of a company.
Currently, the "work style reform" is a bit of a misnomer, but more diverse ways of working have become possible. Those who trade FX or cryptocurrencies are often thinking, "Relying on salary is dangerous." I believe that is a correct assessment.
In the future, more people may earn a living not by staying at one company but by working for two or three companies, or by running their own business. When I talk to people in companies, I hear repeatedly, "I want to side-hustle" or "I want to invest."
That suggests working at a single company may be more stressful (though the companies I deal with have excellent cultures), and perhaps salaries are lower (which seems more common).
If you take a step forward to start something new, or spend time gossiping about your boss at a cheap izakaya and venting about useless subordinates, your future life could change.
Now, this week’s “Weekly Trade No One Can Tell Anyone” ends with a small loss. For some, it may have been a small gain; it was a very close difference. Last week, the market showed a strong shift, resulting in a large profit!
FX trading is not about tweaking fundamentals or technicals endlessly. I do not deny that, but given that many people end up exiting for that reason, I do not intend to go that route.
While many may think, "No one does that," or "That is certainly not correct," there are times when the crowd hasn't yet moved, and that is when profits can come. After all, markets are a classic example of the "bandwagon effect." Let us move forward without forgetting that "going with the majority leads to losses."
When I interact with people who have adopted money management, they often say, "I'm glad I didn't depend on a single method." I myself am exactly that type, and since I started trading with money management, my results have become more stable.
Well then, let's do our best this week as well.
▼2. Weekly trades no one can tell anyone
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A “Weekly trades no one can tell anyone” that fully utilizes money management in a portfolio of trend-following and contrarian positions.
Since the start of operation in 2012, there has been no yearly loss and total profit has exceeded 30,000 pips.
What is the secret to turning a 48% win rate into profit? Here we present this week's trade results.
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・This week's result: -23 pips
・Total to date: +37,074 pips (decimals omitted)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win rate: 50.3%
・Average win: +785 pips
・Average loss: -578 pips
・Maximum win: +13,491 pips
・Maximum loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.36
The "Weekly trades no one can tell anyone" takes positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes and trends. However, its essence lies more in money management than in the trades themselves.
This method has a win rate of 50%. Because the perceived probability feels around 40%, those who require a win rate of over 80% to endure would likely not be able to implement it. Conversely, those considering long-term profits may find it informative.
