Stock Talk Kabushiru 5月9日の225先物/テクニカルポイント【米債務上限の行方を巡り、29K挟んだ一進一退繰り返す】

225 Futures / Technical Points · Investment Stance

Ultra-short-term, short-term (futures) — This week's outlook is discussed from a mid- to long-term perspective as well.
※ 225 futures · Technicals and Oscillators (1–3)

1. Short selling ratio 41.9% ⇩ (2 days 42.1% · 1 day 42.4% · 28th 41.7% · 27th 46.2% · 26th 45.1%)

2. Trough-and-Rise Index (6-day average)133.41 ⇧/ OverheatedTrough-and-Rise Index (25-day average)130.75 ⇩/ Overheated

Guide: Oversold (low volume) 70 or below · Neutral 70–120 · Overbought (overheated) 120 or above

3. RCI (9, 14) 72 ⇧ · 58 ⇒ Buy Signal　MACD 408 ⇩ / Signal 383 ⇧ ( Buy signal approaching25 ⇩)

Note: RCI short-term exceeds mid-term; the gap between MACD and Signal is narrowing, but expansion after a power struggle is possible.

Guidelines • 1: If RCI 9 exceeds 14, buy; MACD > Signal / Buy; MACD < Signal / Sell

Guidelines • 2: When interpretations of RCI and MACD differ, assign greater weight to MACD. RCI emphasizes near-term factors.

Week of May 8, 5/9 (Sun–Mon trading) Nikkei 225 futures · Key levels and technical points

Red text marks resistance levels (blue text marks support levels) when testing highs ( lows )