“Everything Becomes FX” Week-by-Week Trade That No One Can Tell Vol.037
This "Investment Navi+" is a report delivered every Sunday by those who think about money management and that "everything becomes FX."
I would like to deliver not only FX markets but money matters in general, including the weekly positions I actually hold, to a limited audience.
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▼ Table of Contents
―1. Recent Situation
―2. Weekly trades you can tell no one about
―3. Next week's positions
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【PR】Turn losses in FX into gains by using money management
A trading technique that emphasizes "money management," which is often neglected in FX trading.
It becomes possible to trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Situation
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The phrase "Everything becomes FX" involves moving between domestic and overseas markets about half of each month. I would like to inform you where I am now, what I am seeing, and what kinds of people I have met and worked with domestically.
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This week I am in Tokyo.
After Golden Week, as tourism returns to normal, I have returned from Okinawa to Tokyo. Those I met in Okinawa all said they were job hunting.
Even though it is said to be a "seller's market," that is premised on graduates entering the workforce. Once you carry the label of "early graduate" or "second new graduate," people quickly devalue you, and you must compete with experience and skills beyond that.
Moreover, unexperience is only allowed up to age 30 in this harsh world.
If you think "that’s nonsense," perhaps it’s better to spit in the job market and try doing what you want (though you don’t need to spit, of course).
Now, this week's "Weekly trade you can tell no one about" yielded +528 pips as the trend-following and contrarian portfolios both functioned sufficiently.
If I were to be greedy (which is not appropriate in markets), I would have preferred a few more consecutive losses to feel the explosive power of money management, but let’s leave that to the gods of the market.
What scares beginners in markets is crashes. When news comes, markets are reported as "profitable" when rising and "losses" when falling, so it’s understandable that such a mindset forms.
However, in reality, the big profits often come during major drops. In breakout-style methods, in calm markets you may incur minor losses, while when the market moves strongly in one direction you can gain substantial profits.
This is interesting because it runs contrary to the typical pattern of earning small profits and suffering big losses. As I've written many times, the market tends to favor the minority. This may be true for popular products as well.
When I am writing this, I am at the airport, and next I want to look at Jakarta.
Now, let’s proceed with trading calmly for this week as well.
▼2. Weekly trades you can tell no one about
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A "weekly trade you can tell no one about" that fully utilizes money management for both trend-following and counter-trend portfolios.
Since the start of operation in 2012, we have had no annual losses and achieved total profits of over +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to profitability with a 48% win rate? Here we present this week's trading results.
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・This week's result: +528 pips
・Cumulative result: +35,982 pips (rounded)
【Weekly trade results】
・Win rate: 50.3%
・Average win: +785 pips
・Average loss: -578 pips
・Largest win: +13,491 pips
・Largest loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.36
"Weekly trades you can tell no one about" takes positions with an edge from the hourly, daily, and weekly trends. However, its essence lies more in money management than in trading itself.
The win rate of this method is 50%. Because the subjective probability feels around 40%, this may not be practical for those who require a win rate above 80% to endure. Conversely, those who consider long-term profits may find it informative.
