The weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about, where everything becomes FX Vol.036
This "Investment Navigator Plus" is a report delivered every Sunday from "Everything becomes FX" which contemplates money management.
It covers money matters not limited to FX markets, and I would like to share with a limited audience the weekly positions I actually hold.
――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
▼Table of Contents
―1. Current Situation
―2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
―3. Positions for next week
――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
【PR】Turn FX losses into gains by using fund management
A trading method that emphasizes "fund management," which is often neglected in FX.
Allows you to trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Current Situation
――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and international markets about half of each month. I would like to inform you which city I’m in now, what I’m seeing, and which people I’m meeting and working with domestically.
――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
This week I am in Naha.
Golden Week is nearing its end (as of the time this article is published, it is the last day), and outbound traffic is continuing. For anyone who trades in the market, I think everyone feels the same: “I don’t want to get swept up in that.”
I am a典型的に that type.
Because of that, I came to Okinawa with the plan to go somewhere else when everyone returns. The humidity in Okinawa at this time of year is lower than Tokyo, making the days comfortable.
Now, recently I received a question about how to use “fund management.”
Fund management becomes a powerful force when used in combination with “weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about.” Of course, it can also be used in combination with the methods you already have as a trader.
Even in 2018, with a 1,000,000 yen margin, a profit of 200,000 yen had already been achieved, which makes it a strong ally for those who previously relied on a single method for FX trading.
Back to the point, one of the questions was, “I want to buy and sell trades at the same time.” From the perspective of fund management, this is excellent.
However, if you repeatedly “buy every day” and “sell every day,” you end up paying an invisible fee called the “spread cost.” In other words, no matter which way the market moves, you will lose by the spread.
Therefore, I answered that “if you must buy or sell every day, you should enter only during advantaged moments.”
This reduces unnecessary entries. Yet, some entries are unavoidable and dull; within this repetition, occasionally you can hit a home run.
Now, the “weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about” have seen a bit more losses again. People who practice fund management may be looking forward to a lower win rate.
The world of finance is a fascinating place where there’s no need to follow the majority. If you quietly continue and increase your margin, I would be glad. Of course, if you add rewards earned from different work, the pace at which your margin grows will accelerate, needless to say.
▼2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
A portfolio of trend-following and contrarian trades fully utilizing fund management—“weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about.”
Since the start of its operation in 2012, it has achieved no annual losses and more than +30,000 pips in total profits.
What is the secret to making a profit with a win rate of 48%? Here we present this week’s trade results.
――――――――――――――――――――――――――――
・This week’s results: -348 pips
・Total results: +35,453 pips (rounded)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win rate: 50.3%
・Average win: +785 pips
・Average loss: -578 pips
・Maximum win: +13,491 pips
・Maximum loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.36
“Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about” take positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes and from trends. However, their essence lies more in fund management than in trading itself.
This method’s win rate is 50%. Because it feels around 40% in “felt probability,” anyone who cannot tolerate a win rate below 80% probably cannot practice it. Conversely, it may be insightful for those who think in long-term profits.
