Forex 1/9: USD/JPY sell, EUR/USD buy, GBP/USD buy, AUD/USD buy, EUR/JPY buy, GBP/JPY buy, AUD/JPY buy
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| 5pm ~ NY close | 2023/1/9 | ||
| OPEN | LAST | CHANGE | |
| USD/JPY | 132.25 | 131.88 | ▲ 37 |
| EUR/USD | 1.0675 | 1.0733 | △ 58 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2137 | 1.2185 | △ 48 |
| AUD/USD | 0.6916 | 0.6912 | ▲ 4 |
| EUR/JPY | 141.16 | 141.55 | △ 39 |
| GBP/JPY | 160.51 | 160.69 | △ 18 |
| AUD/JPY | 91.46 | 91.15 | ▲ 31 |
■ Position Changes, Signals — January 9 (Monday)
・Tokyo morning: yen broadly firm, dollar weak, sterling and other Commonwealth currencies staying firm. As European session approaches, yen remains broadly weak, strongest against the dollar on the pound and the Australian dollar. When New York time enters, dollar weakness against the euro and pound up to London fixed. At NY close, dollar weakness led by euro and pound.
・Daytime balance: euro/yen selling at 140.68 is canceled. The overall market maintains a dollar-selling overnight position.
・Led by EUR/USD, dollar/yen declines with a delay. In NY, dollar selling against euro and yen.
■ Major Economic Indicators (U.S. focus), rate decisions, events, news, etc.
・Chicago Fed President says next FOMC to raise rate by 0.25% = WSJ
・Richmond Fed President says limiting rate hikes would dampen the economy
・Kansas City Fed President says Fed faces a complex situation regarding the labor market
・Pill, Bank of England MPC member and Chief Economist
“If necessary, we will respond forcefully.”
“We are focusing on signs of sustained inflation.”
“There are no signs that inflation is persistent.”
“Labor market indicators are beginning to turn.”
・E.B. Bossick, President of the Atlanta Fed
“By early Q2, the FF rate should be raised above 5% and kept high for a long period.”
“Raising the FF rate to 5–5.25% is justified.”
“The baseline scenario for GDP in 2023 is 1% growth.”
“It will take time, but inflation this year is expected to fall to around 3%.”
（If there are changes in the daytime balance and new positions are taken, they will be re-confirmed at NY close and then moved to overnight positions, with the initial position settled. However, if new daytime positions are canceled midway, the initial positions up to that point remain. Therefore, if a new daytime position arises due to balance changes, it will be a covered position with the initial one. Naturally, in cancellation, there are losses.)
■ USD/JPY
1/6 – SELL @ 132.58
1/3 – BUY @ 130.94
12/29 – SELL @ 133.81
12/22 – BUY @ 132.15
12/20 – SELL @ 136.00
(LAST @ 131.88)
Decline resumes confirmation point 131.82, rebound resistance 132.14
■ EUR/USD
1/6 – BUY @ 1.0588
1/2 – SELL @ 1.0681
12/29 – BUY @ 1.0649
12/28 – SELL @ 1.0633
12/26 – BUY @ 1.0616
(LAST @ 1.0733)
Support at 1.0686, confirmation point for further rise 1.0714
■ GBP/USD
1/6 – BUY @ 1.2001
1/5 – SELL @ 1.2007
1/4 – BUY @ 1.2015
1/3 – SELL @ 1.2053
12/30 – BUY @ 1.2055
(LAST @ 1.2185)
Support at 1.2135, confirmation point for further rise 1.2164
■ AUD/USD
1/6 – BUY @ 0.6804
1/5 – SELL @ 0.6781
1/4 – BUY @ 0.6780
1/3 – SELL @ 0.6801
12/29 – BUY @ 0.6770
(LAST @ 0.6912)
Support at 0.6903, confirmation point for further rise 0.6921
■ EUR/JPY
1/4 – BUY @ 139.02
12/29 – SELL @ 142.29
12/23 – BUY @ 140.40
12/16 – SELL @ 145.21
12/14 – BUY @ 144.65
(LAST @ 141.55)
Support at 140.83, confirmation point for further rise 141.25
■ GBP/JPY
1/4 – BUY @ 157.24
12/29 – SELL @ 161.19
12/23 – BUY @ 159.71
12/13 – SELL @ 168.00
12/15 – BUY @ 167.86
(LAST @ 160.69)
Support at 160.05, confirmation point for further rise 160.50
■ AUD/JPY
1/4 – BUY @ 88.60
12/29 – SELL @ 90.26
12/23 – BUY @ 88.82
12/15 – SELL @ 92.63
12/07 – BUY @ 91.93
(LAST @ 91.15)
Support at 91.19, confirmation point for further rise 91.42
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