“Everything becomes FX” A weekly trade you can’t tell anyone about Vol.032
This "Investment Navigator+" is a report delivered every Sunday by those who consider fund management under the theme "Everything becomes FX."
I want to bring you not only FX-related matters but also the weekly positions I actually hold, shared with those of you who are interested.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Recent Status
―2. Weekly Trades I Can’t Tell Anyone Else
―3. Global Finance
―4. Next Week’s Positions
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【PR】Turn losses in FX into gains using fund management
A trading method that emphasizes "fund management," which is often neglected in FX.
It enables trading that isn’t swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Status
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and overseas about half of every month. I want to share where I am now, what I’m seeing, and whom I’ve met and worked with domestically.
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This week I’m in Okinawa.
This year I have visited Okinawa for two months running in February, March, and April this year. That said, I don’t usually visit tourist spots or indulge in gourmet food (I do eat a bit, though); essentially I work from a local hotel or an Airbnb house.
Now, since the start of 2018, cryptocurrencies have fallen sharply, which has been a hot topic. Some say “aim for the 2,000,000 yen range by the end of 2018” or “cryptocurrencies are done,” but how will things move?
Also, Bitcoin may end, but blockchain technology is attracting attention, and there are discussions about countries around the world issuing currencies with blockchain (in Japan, there was a mention in the 1990s, but it was shelved for a time).
As a country, there is a strong desire to understand the flow of money, so sooner or later currency issued by governments will likely replace cash and coins.
Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency market is truly fascinating. After so much hype and everyone thinking “now is the time to buy,” the moment it starts to rise, the market falls—an example of a bandwagon in itself.
As someone involved in trading, I must say that trying to profit from the market through sheer cutting and stabbing seems excessively gambling-driven.
There is nothing wrong with the majority acting that way, but if you want to profit from the market in the long term, perhaps you need to be that one or two people in the class who remain cool and skeptical about heated trends.
▼2. Weekly Trades I Can’t Tell Anyone Else
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A weekly trade that combines trend-following and counter-trend positions with full use of fund management in this “I can’t tell anyone else” strategy.
Since starting in 2012, there has been no annual loss and total profit exceeding +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to earning despite a 48% win rate? Here we present this week’s trade results.
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・This week’s result: +234 pips
・Total results to date: +34,909 pips (rounded)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win rate: 50.3%
・Average win: +785 pips
・Average loss: -578 pips
・Largest win: +13,491 pips
・Largest loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.36
“I Can’t Tell Anyone Else Weekly Trades” take positions with advantages from the hourly, daily, and weekly trends. Yet, its essence lies more in fund management than in trading itself.
This method has a 50% win rate. Because the perceived probability feels around 40%, those who cannot endure unless the win rate is over 80% may not be able to practice it. Conversely, it may be informative for those who think in long-term terms.
