A single position with an annual 1000-pip level, "the one and only"

CY's One-Position EA Series "Only One"

The expected profit is also No. 1.

With 1.0-lot operation, +700 pips gained in seven months

The profit rate is just under 50%.

【オンリーワン概要】

Currency pair: [USD/JPY]

Trading style: [Scalping]

Maximum number of positions: 1

Used time frame: M15

Maximum stop loss: 100

Take profit: 40

The maximum stop loss is 100, but exits are determined by the logic.

Average win pips: average loss pips are 33 : -16.

The win rate is relatively low at 44%, but it cuts losses precisely and aims to capture larger profits.

【Forward Performance】

Forward performance is +704 pips in seven months of operation

Entries occur about five times per week, so trades can be expected almost daily.

【Trading example】

Red dotted line indicates SELL, blue dotted line indicates BUY.

We capture large gains by trend-following in the breakout direction (contrary to the Bollinger Bands).

It seems that about every other trade loses, but with many trades, losses occur while profits accumulate.



【Backtest Analysis】

2008.01.02-2017.12.31

10-year backtestWith spread 1.0Fixed at 0.1 lotNet profit +84.5万円Maximum drawdown -6.6万円Total trades 2308 (annual average 230 trades)That is how it turned out.From the maximum drawdown, the recommended margin is 170,000 JPY per 0.1 lot.If you want to keep maximum drawdown to around 30%, having about 200,000 JPY would be reassuring.The expected annual return for 200,000 JPY is +43%A fairly high yield is expected!What you should know in advance is that the win rate is not high, and total profit to total loss is 44%:56%, soit's a type where losses are many, but profits remain.【Monthly Losses】(per 0.1 lot)There isn't a negative year across the year, as expected from CY.Looking at by month, September tended to be a losing month.(Units are yen)Annual gains vary from year to year.【Difference between Only One Standard and Full】Only One USD/JPY has Standard, Full, and Light versions.The Light version has a lot-size cap up to 0.2 lots, so it's not suitable for those who want to earn more.Standard has no lot-size limit,Full is the version with compounding functionality.So what results would compounding yield with a win rate in the 40% range?Basically, with a high win rate, compounding rises to the right, so it's recommended, but...（Compounding, 10-year backtest starting from an initial margin of 200,000 yen at Risk50）When performing a 10-year backtest with Risk50,it's quite a roller-coaster!There were periods with a 74% relative drawdown, sometimes to the limit.As a resultFrom 200,000 yen to just under 2,000,000 yen, a 10x increaseit became, butAt maximum profit, it's around +2,700,000 yen, soit's hard to know when to quit, though,Considering that the average annual return with simple interest is +40%Either withdraw after five years aiming for fivefold growth,or move the funds when it doubles or triples, and continue to operate.Of course, manually adjusting the lot size on Standard is also an option!"Only One" is available not only as a value-set product, but also as a "Privilege Edition" for those who already own CY's EAs, so please consider it.★CY's Other Popular EAs Backtest ComparisonDark blue: Only OneLight blue: Ippon-KachiRed: Last 3 FurlongsProfit per 0.1 lot is highest with "Only One"!Even when in late 2016 the "Ippon-Kachi" went into a downtrend, Only One continued updating profits, soit's also recommended as part of a portfolio.There are also value-set products with the latest Last 3 Furlongs!There is a portfolio analysis for Last 3 Furlongs and Only One USD/JPY.＞Last 3 Furlongs: High win rate, low drawdown, suitable for high-leverage tradingValue-set products (Last 3 Furlongs + Only One USD/JPY)Only One (Standard)written by Tera GogoJungle

With spread 1.0

Fixed at 0.1 lot

Net profit +84.5万円

Maximum drawdown -6.6万円

Total trades 2308 (annual average 230 trades)

That is how it turned out.

From the maximum drawdown, the recommended margin is 170,000 JPY per 0.1 lot.

If you want to keep maximum drawdown to around 30%, having about 200,000 JPY would be reassuring.

The expected annual return for 200,000 JPY is +43%A fairly high yield is expected!

What you should know in advance is that the win rate is not high, and total profit to total loss is 44%:56%, so

it's a type where losses are many, but profits remain.

【Monthly Losses】(per 0.1 lot)

There isn't a negative year across the year, as expected from CY.

Looking at by month, September tended to be a losing month.

(Units are yen)

Annual gains vary from year to year.

【Difference between Only One Standard and Full】

Only One USD/JPY has Standard, Full, and Light versions.

The Light version has a lot-size cap up to 0.2 lots, so it's not suitable for those who want to earn more.

Standard has no lot-size limit,

Full is the version with compounding functionality.

So what results would compounding yield with a win rate in the 40% range?

Basically, with a high win rate, compounding rises to the right, so it's recommended, but...

（Compounding, 10-year backtest starting from an initial margin of 200,000 yen at Risk50）

When performing a 10-year backtest with Risk50,

it's quite a roller-coaster!

There were periods with a 74% relative drawdown, sometimes to the limit.

As a resultFrom 200,000 yen to just under 2,000,000 yen, a 10x increaseit became, but

At maximum profit, it's around +2,700,000 yen, so

it's hard to know when to quit, though,

Considering that the average annual return with simple interest is +40%

Either withdraw after five years aiming for fivefold growth,

or move the funds when it doubles or triples, and continue to operate.

Of course, manually adjusting the lot size on Standard is also an option!

"Only One" is available not only as a value-set product, but also as a "Privilege Edition" for those who already own CY's EAs, so please consider it.

★CY's Other Popular EAs Backtest Comparison

Dark blue: Only One

Light blue: Ippon-Kachi

Red: Last 3 Furlongs

Profit per 0.1 lot is highest with "Only One"!

Even when in late 2016 the "Ippon-Kachi" went into a downtrend, Only One continued updating profits, so

it's also recommended as part of a portfolio.

There are also value-set products with the latest Last 3 Furlongs!

There is a portfolio analysis for Last 3 Furlongs and Only One USD/JPY.

＞Last 3 Furlongs: High win rate, low drawdown, suitable for high-leverage trading

Value-set products (Last 3 Furlongs + Only One USD/JPY)

Only One (Standard)

written by Tera GogoJungle