Translate the following HTML to English, keep the HTML format, do not use markdown code blocks, do not insert line breaks beyond what's already present, and decode HTML entities before translating: 【質問】チャートパターンを見極める取引手法というのは、非常に差がうまれると思うんですが…【回答】
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A trendline method that does not require technicals
【Question】
They say it is a method that is not influenced by the market, but
I think the trading method that identifies chart patterns
will create very different results...
In the end, I think the discretionary part is too large
If you think “this is a pennant, this is a flag,”
there will be no end to it
When the market turns around often
it is often a contrary indicator
However, as reference examples of such trading methods
all show clean patterns
but my view is that the reality has a lot of harsh aspects
what do you think?
【Answer】
I understand that
I used to be a hardcore technical trader as well
Every day I would hunt for the holy grail or optimize technical analysis whenever there was a gap
But in any tool or analysis
the difference is only whether the market reaction becomes faster or slower
All methods can become curve-fitting
And ultimately, the diagram where the trend starts and “the trend-following wins in the end”
has been formed in the forex market each time
And to restrain these as trades,
you need to press in on chart patterns that do not rely on technicals
Precisely capturing the price range’s support and resistance on those charts
is ultimately the most stable
That is why this method exists
There are also bad reference examples, but
we proceed with those included in our trading plan, and by aggregating, we aim to win
I think there is not much problem
The goal and answer is to “increase”
【Question】
The phrase “increase” sounds good, but
in reality, it is difficult
Because it tends to be a hindsight theory
When you do it yourself,
decrease → decrease → decrease → increase = overall negative
in many cases
【Answer】
That is simply because the profit is small relative to the number of trades
I think the profit portion should be larger
The market favors trend-following
Losses are a prelude to increasing, so think of it that way
There is that much appeal in it
Given how the market works, it is easier to increase capital if you adopt that approach
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