[Question] I don’t know how to determine it accurately. Although I understand that a “rollover trade” theoretically benefits, [Answer]

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How to repeatedly trade reversals with a precise method

【Question】

I don’t know how to judge accurately

I understand theoretically that reversal trading can be profitable

but it seems I cannot understand it systematically

because I don’t know where the reversal point is

I understand this is the start, but

sometimes I find reversal points along the way

but profitable traders don’t reverse at that point

【Answer】

That’s right

Profitable people discern it at that point

I think this is probably the place people call “discretion”

Often people say “mechanical” or “no discretion”

they apply discretion at such points

regardless of what kind of signal tool it is

because without applying it, automated trading is sufficient

However, not all automated trading in the world yields good results

Even if results are good, you will inevitably experience drawdown like curve fitting

In other words, you cannot maintain stability

That is why the ability to discern discretion at these points is crucial

If you want to survive even a little,

be careful at these points

Because it will surely become your strength in return

【Question】

Thank you

I think my thinking was indeed too naive

By the way, Mr. Amemiya, are you also a discretionary trader?

【Answer】

I am absolutely a discretionary trader as well

Signal tools are visually easy to understand, so I use them

But, ultimately discretion wins

As you’re told, discerning discretion along the way is

what determines whether you win or lose, whether you increase or decrease

Therefore, you should identify such parts without taking a long detour and press forward

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