Central Plain Sprint Report (NYSE Dow Jones Average & Nikkei Average) No.164 August 22, 2022
・Point
Medium- to long-term outlook (if the second phase pattern starting from March 2020 requires a sharp rise) No change
The first 4-year cycle is a combination pattern of two 24-month cycles and three 15.5-month cycles. The rise from the bottom of the 24-month cycle started in June. It is worrisome that the bottom of the 15.5-month cycle is expected around November, but if the second 24-month cycle is bullish, there is a possibility of maintaining the rise until around March next year.
・Point
Medium- to long-term outlook (the rising phase of the second 24-month cycle. Ideally into year-end, at least up until around September) No change
The 24-month cycle bottoms on March 9. Both time and price targets are met (time within ±3 months of March, price at or below 25,280). The first PC of the second 24-month cycle is bullish. If Japanese stocks do not make new lows while U.S. stocks make new lows and then reverse, a bullish divergence is forming. It is especially reassuring that Nasdaq has clearly started to rise.
Please see the PDF file for the continuation.
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