Central Plains Shun Report Summer Special Issue Nikkei Stock Average 2022 Second Half Forecast August 15, 2022

【Summary】

・The 4th- and 4-year cycle started in March 2020, the bottom of the first 24-month cycle is March 2022. We are currently in an uptrend of the second 24-month cycle.

・If the second 24-month cycle is bullish, the rise could occur from March to June 2023; if bearish, a top could be reached within the year.

?・The key is the position of the 15.5-month cycle bottom expected from October to December 2022. If the 15.5-month cycle bottom can hold the March low of 24,681, the second 24-month cycle will be bullish, and if it breaks, a top is likely around January 2023.

・In a bearish scenario, most of 2023 would see declines, but from the pattern of the “3” year we expect bullishness, and after March 2023 there is a high likelihood of a rebound.

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