“Everything Becomes FX” The Weekly Trade You Wouldn’t Tell Anyone Vol.023
This “Investment Navi Plus” is a report delivered every Sunday by “Everything becomes FX,” which contemplates money management.
I would like to share, with a limited audience, matters about money beyond FX markets, based on the weekly positions I actually hold.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Recent Situations
―2. Weekly Trades I Won’t Tell Anyone About
―3. Global Finance
―4. Next Week’s Positions
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【PR】Turn FX losses into gains by using capital management
A trading approach that emphasizes capital management, which is often neglected in FX.
You can trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Situations
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and overseas locations about half a month at a time. I’d like to share where I am now, what I’m seeing, and whom I’ve met and worked with domestically.
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This week I am in Tokyo. This year I’m focusing not only globally but domestically, especially on regional areas, so I aim to visit more regional parts of Japan. It may be misleading to say this here where people all over Japan read it, but I can’t help noticing a sense of disparity when I travel to the countryside.
For example, Utsunomiya, which is about an hour by Shinkansen from Tokyo, feels slower than Tokyo despite people living there (though I haven’t heard everyone’s voice). Many are people who have only been to Tokyo once or twice in their lives, and some even visit Tokyo as if it were overseas travel.
There is a sense that one can live without venturing to Tokyo, but the shopping malls that support them are in a rush to close. Is Tokyo’s concentration as the sole political and economic center good or bad? This year I want to broaden my understanding of such things.
Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies have become widely known even to ordinary people (myself included), with frequent reports of troubles, crashes, and daily volatility.
If FX moves even 1–2% in price, it can make headlines; a 10% move becomes historic, but in the crypto market a 40% drop is commonly reported.
Trading with leverage and large price swings (the moves in currencies like pounds are beyond the naked eye). It seems to have reached the realm of full-blown gambling. When things settle a bit, and fluctuations occur, perhaps the time for market wizards to step in will come.
Still, what about the margin of those who bought cryptocurrency with full leverage around December… is it still intact…?
▼2. Weekly Trades I Won’t Tell Anyone About
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A weekly trade that uses full capital management in a trending- and contrarian-portfolio titled “Weekly Trades I Won’t Tell Anyone About.”
Since starting in 2012, I have not had an annual loss and have achieved a total profit of over +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to earning profits with a 48% win rate? Here I will present this week’s trading results.
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・This week’s result: -1,094 pips
・Cumulative result: +32,910 pips (rounded)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win rate: 48.6%
・Average win: +839.6 pips
・Average loss: -580.1 pips
・Largest win: +13,491 pips
・Largest loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.45
“Weekly Trades I Won’t Tell Anyone About” takes favorable positions from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes using trend analysis. However, its core lies more in money management than in trading itself.
The win rate of this method is 48%. It feels like about 40% by “felt probability,” so anyone who cannot endure unless the win rate is over 80% probably cannot practically apply it. Conversely, it should be informative for those thinking about long-term profits.
