Central Plain Shun Report (Dow Jones Industrial Average / Nikkei 225) No.157 June 20, 2022
・Points
Medium- to long-term outlook (declining toward a 24-month cycle bottom from March 2020) No change
The 4-year cycle and 12-year cycle started in March 2020. The first 4-year cycle is a combination pattern of two 24-month cycles and three 15.5-month cycles. Because the (Feb 24) low was surpassed, the 24-month cycle has not yet formed a bottom. However, this cycle could bottom by July at the latest (March 2022 ± 4 months), so it could bottom at any time, but even if it retraces afterward
the 15.5-month cycle is likely to descend.
・Points
Medium- to long-term outlook (the 24-month cycle bottoms. Starts rising at least from June to October) No change
The 24-month cycle bottoms on March 9. Time and price targets are achieved (time within March ± 3 months, price at or below 25,280). The first P.C of the second 24-month cycle is bullish. Ideally, if Japanese stocks do not make new lows and U.S. stocks do make new lows and reverse, bullish divergence will be completed. Conversely, if new lows are taken later, it becomes a bearish convergence and a dangerous situation.
Please refer to the PDF file for the continuation.
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