“Everything Becomes FX” The Weeklies Trade You Can’t Tell Anyone About Vol.021
This "Investment Navigator Plus" is a report delivered every Sunday by "Everything becomes FX," which contemplates fund management.
I would like to share not only FX markets but also other money matters, delivering my weekly positions I actually hold to a limited audience.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Recent Developments
―2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
―3. Global finance
―4. Next week's positions
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【PR】Transform losses in FX into gains by applying fund management
A trading technique that emphasizes "fund management," which is often neglected in FX.
You can trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Developments
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and international locations for about half of each month. I’d like to inform you where I am now, what I’m seeing, and whom I’ve been meeting and working with domestically.
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This week I am in Shanghai.
Therefore, this issue is a simplified version.
Since November, it is the first move since entering 2018.
As you may know, mainland China imposes internet restrictions. However, travelers can use services like Google, Twitter, and LINE by setting up a VPN environment.
However, censorship by Chinese authorities and VPNs are in a cat-and-mouse game, so access can be difficult or unavailable at times. For reference, the fx-on site remains accessible without issue.
Shanghai’s economic development is well known. Prices are as high as or higher than in Japan. Yet, despite the peak weekend hours, high-end brand shops in department stores are quiet, giving a sense of a past bubble.
Moreover, in China, most payments are done through WeChat Pay or Alipay. Many foreigners who do not have Chinese bank accounts (including me) cannot use these payment methods because accounts cannot be linked, which makes one feel somewhat left behind by the times.
There are ways like requesting transfers from Chinese people or asking hotel staff, but the barriers remain high. In the future, I believe these services will become available to foreigners without stress, making things even more convenient.
(Even in Japan, you can use these services through so-called proxy services, but the fees are …)
▼2. Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about
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A "weekly trade you can’t tell anyone about" that fully utilizes fund management within a portfolio of trend-following and counter-trend strategies.
Since starting operation in 2012, there has been no yearly loss and total profits exceeding +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to profits even with a win rate of 48%? Here we present this week’s trade results.
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・This week's result: +14 pips
・Cumulative result: +33,651 pips (rounded, decimals omitted)
※P.S. Apologies for the update not being reflected at publication.
【Weekly trades results】
・Win rate: 48.6%
・Average win: +839.6 pips
・Average loss: -580.1 pips
・Best win: +13,491 pips
・Worst loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.45
“Weekly trades you can’t tell anyone about” takes positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes and trends. However, its essence lies more in fund management than in trading itself.
The win rate of this method is 48%. Because it feels like about 40% in terms of perceived probability, those who cannot endure unless the win rate is over 80% will probably not be able to practice it. Conversely, those who can think about long-term profitability may find it informative.
