EUR/USD 1-minute scalping: simple interest +33%, compound interest yields +667% over 7 years 『flashes for EURUSD 』
EUR/USD 1-minute scalping!
Forward testing over four and a half months realized a net profit of +¥138,000, with a maximum drawdown of ¥95,000,
Flashes for EURUSD, with a return of +29%.
【Overview】
Currency pair：[EUR/USD]
Trading style：[Day trading][Scalping]
Maximum positions: 1
Timeframe used：M1
Maximum stop loss：110 pips
Take profit：60 pips
Forward testing is going well!
Average monthly earnings over 50 pips, and with a fixed 0.5 lots, reliably earning 20,000–30,000 yen per month.
Then, what are the maximum drawdown and expected profit in the long-term backtest?
【Backtest Analysis】
Seven-year backtest from 2010 to 2017,
With a spread of 1.0 pips and fixed 0.1 lots, net profit is +¥469,000
An average annual gain of 670 pips.
Maximum drawdown is ¥84,000.
If using fixed lots, for a 1,000,000 yen account, 0.4–0.5 lots would be optimal.
In that case, fixed 0.4 lots yields an annual profit of ¥268,000; fixed 0.5 lots yields an average annual profit of ¥335,000.
【There is compounding too!】
Using the compounding feature included in Flashes for EURUSD, set risk to 0.5 (holding 0.5 lots per 1,000,000 yen) and backtested over the same period.
Compared with fixed 0.5 lots,compounding yields more than three times as much profit, +¥6,670,000as a result.
Relative drawdown is 36% and is within expectations.
（Annual win rate & profit）
With compounding effect, from the second year onward, profit of at least ¥600,000 per year!
By 2017, it reached +¥2,000,000.
【USDJPY版とEURUSD版、どちらがいいの？】
Flashes for EURUSD also has a USDJPY version.
While the familiar USD/JPY is more popular, how big is the actual performance difference?
＜0.1ロット固定運用での利益比較＞
■USDJPY版
0.1ロットあたりの最大ドローダウン：¥20,710
7年バックテストの利益額：¥239,440
■EURUSD版
0.1ロットあたりの最大ドローダウン：¥84,552
7年バックテストの利益額：¥469,305
If we align the drawdowns, the USDJPY version can hold 0.4 lots
which would be ¥950,000, roughly double the EURUSD version's profit.
If you have more margin, running the USDJPY version with a larger lot size might be better.
Also, all backtests were conducted with a spread of 1.0 pips, but depending on the account, it is possible to operate with a spread of 0.4–0.5 pips.
For those looking for a EURUSD EA,
if you have already purchased the USDJPY version, how about as a sister product?
Price: ¥19,800.
There is also a detailed article for the USDJPY version♪
