New EA "Dream Trend R2" Development Intent
The previous version, “Yume Trend USDJPY/H1,” was a strategy that could win big in favorable moments, but honestly it repeated small stop-outs, resulting in a low win rate, even best-case around 30%. Reference video⇒https://fx-on.com/douga/gogojungletv/?id=347
Therefore, to reduce the number of losses, and instead have moderate losses per losing occurrence, we developed a new trend-following EA, “Yume Trend R2.”
In terms of win/loss image, it was envisioned to achieve 9 wins and 6 losses, i.e., a win rate of 60% would be good enough.
Also, without changing the entry point, when the timing to exit comes and there is an unrealized loss, the logic was added to exit with a small profit (“micro-profit”) if possible (if there is unrealized profit at the exit point, it is taken as a profit as is).
After backtesting for about one year on GBPUSD and EURUSD, the intended win rate was achieved, and moreover the profit factor exceeded 1, confirming that it is a usable strategy, which led to its release.
To be honest, the backtests were modest, but once forward testing began, the EURUSD and GBPUSD versions both performed better in forward testing than in backtests, and currently record an 80% win rate.
EA requires a certain win rate to be worth keeping in operation, but with this, I believe it can be run with satisfaction and continued operation.
In moments when the trend can be captured significantly, it wins big; when it cannot ride the trend, it exits with a small profit; when caught in a trend reversal or sharp fluctuations, it incurs a moderate loss—balanced, solid strategy, in my view.
EURUSD and GBPUSD versions are sold, but both use the same strategy. The difference is only in the lot size.
1-position, trend-following with large potential gains; high win rate; operable with a small capital