“Everything Becomes FX” Weekly Chart Trade No One Can Tell Anyone About Vol.018
This "Investment Navigator +" is a report delivered every Sunday by "Everything becomes FX" which contemplates money management.
I would like to share not only FX markets but also money matters, by delivering the weekly positions I actually hold to a limited audience.
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▼ Table of Contents
―1. Recent Developments
―2. A weekly trade I can’t tell anyone about
―3. Global Finance
―4. Positions for Next Week
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【PR】Change losses in FX into gains using money management
Trading techniques that prioritize "money management," which is often neglected in FX.
You can trade without being swayed by winners or methods.
▼1. Recent Developments
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“Everything becomes FX” moves domestically and abroad about half of each month. I’d like to share where I am now, what I am seeing, and who I am meeting and working with domestically.
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I’m in Tokyo again this week.
This year, AI—especially the field of machine learning—has become widespread. Many people have heard about “jobs that will disappear in the next ten years.” Personally, I think it’s better to let machines handle the convenient parts rather than fight AI.
Companies like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft publish various machine learning libraries, so you can benefit from them without starting from scratch or forcing enormous computations.
Recently, I’ve been developing web applications that utilize such machine learning libraries.
Thanks to you, we’ve reached year-end with “A weekly trade I can’t tell anyone about” in the black.
In fact, this week also closed with a profit, marking 11 consecutive wins. Normally I’d be happy, but it also reminds me that there can be 11 consecutive losses, making me find it interesting how probability works.
Looking back over the year, performance was +13,496 pips.
Since I started trading with this approach in 2012, it has become the highest profit.
If you’ve read this series from the beginning, you’ve probably seen around +1,000 pips in gains (most profits were in January). There were times when losses increased, but by continuing, I was able to recover them.
Next year I think there will be some drawdown somewhere, but I plan to continue as before, regardless of rain or hail.
▼2. A weekly trade I can’t tell anyone about
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A trend-following and counter-trend portfolio that maximizes capital management in a "A weekly trade I can’t tell anyone about."
Since starting in 2012, there has been no annual loss and total profit of more than +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to profit with a 48% win rate? Here I will share this week's trading results.
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・This week's result: +138 pips
・Total result: +33,462 pips (rounded)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win rate: 48.6%
・Average win: +839.6 pips
・Average loss: -580.1 pips
・Maximum win: +13,491 pips
・Maximum loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.45
"A weekly trade I can’t tell anyone about" takes positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly trends. However, its essence lies more in money management than in trading itself.
This method’s win rate is 48%. On a subjective probability basis it feels around 40%, so if you think you cannot endure unless the win rate is above 80%, you probably won’t be able to practice it. Conversely, those who can think in long-term profits will find it informative.
