"Everything Becomes FX" Weekly Trading You Can’t Tell Anyone Vol.017
This "Investment Navigator +" is a report delivered every Sunday by "Everything becomes FX" when considering money management.
I would like to share about money matters not limited to FX markets and the weekly positions I actually hold with a select audience.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Recent Developments
―2. Weekly Trades You Won’t Tell Anyone
―3. Global Finance
―4. Positions for Next Week
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【PR】Change FX losses into gains by using money management
A trading method that emphasizes "money management," which is often neglected in FX trading.
It becomes possible to trade without being swayed by win rates or methods.
▼1. Recent Developments
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“Everything becomes FX” moves between domestic and international locations about once every half month. I’d like to inform you of which city I am in, what I am seeing, and which people I have met and what work I have done domestically.
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This week I am in Tokyo again. Even while wondering “What will I be doing on Christmas Eve?” I believe it is necessary to act according to one’s own conviction regardless of those around us.
Recently, with the sharp drop in Bitcoin, there have been various says like “Is this the collapse of the crypto bubble?” or “Is this just year-end adjustment!?” But from the perspective of someone who isn’t trading the market, it sounds like “an adjustment?”
Conversely, for people who trade markets such as FX, cryptos like Bitcoin are quite easy to trade. The momentum for now is still strong, so it is a bit hard to develop a strategy (for now, just hold). I think after a little while the upward movement, downward movement, and ranges will settle down.
However, about 40% of Bitcoin is held by 1,000 people, and with a market where insiders can’t be regulated, there is certainly a sense of unease about what might happen.
Around me, Bitcoin-related writing has surged (the authors themselves don’t trade the market), and some have benefited from the Bitcoin bubble (apparently writing about Bitcoin-related topics amounting to over 500,000 yen per month).
This is a classic example of a “sell the pickaxe” business succeeding. This year, dubbed the first year of the Bitcoin bubble, is ending, and I’m curious about next year’s movements. While not getting caught up in speculative moves, stepping back a bit reveals many things.
This Christmas is marked by a large number of people and is described as a "prosperous economy" phase. It is a seller’s market for talent, and we may ride the biggest wave since the Heisei era with the Bitcoin bubble.
▼2. Weekly Trades You Won’t Tell Anyone
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A "Weekly Trade You Won’t Tell Anyone" that fully utilizes money management in both trend-following and counter-trend portfolios.
Since the start of operations in 2012, we have had no yearly losses and have earned a total profit of over +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to making a profit with a win rate of 48%? Here, we will present this week’s trade results.
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・This Week’s Result: +212 pips
・Cumulative Result: +33,323 pips (numbers rounded)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win Rate: 48.6%
・Average Win: +839.6 pips
・Average Loss: -580.1 pips
・Maximum Win: +13,491 pips
・Maximum Loss: -2,932 pips
・PF (Profit Factor): 1.37
・PR: 1.45
“Weekly Trade You Won’t Tell Anyone” takes positions with an edge from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly trends. However, its core is more about money management than trading itself.
The win rate of this method is 48%. As the perceived probability feels around 40%, it is probably not feasible for those who cannot endure unless the win rate is above 80%. Conversely, it may be informative for those who think long-term profits.
