Euro/USD, AUD/USD speculative positions
The euro has been damaged by the Ukraine crisis, and it seems natural that it has been weakening against the dollar.
The correlation between the euro/dollar and the euro-U.S. five-year interest rate differential still largely continues, but recently it has also been weakening relative to that.
In this environment, the behavior of speculative traders is nuanced. As usual, it is showing signs of a euro reversal. How should we view this?
Below, we look at the positions of speculative traders in the euro/dollar and the AUD/USD pairs.
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