"East Asia Economy ONLINE column now available!" Is there a period when you are more likely to be deceived?

Good morning, this is Matsushita.

This weekend, October 16 (Sun),

is the date for the Makoto Investment School's Stock Investment Trading Techniques Mastery Course and

the Trading Research Meeting.

Yesterday as well, we gave email coaching to the participants of the stock school and assigned homework. (laughs)

In the Trading Research Meeting, we take another step forward,

as all participants strive to establish their own trading rules through

verification and practice.

From the Trading Research Meeting, which has grown and now plays a partner-like role in supporting the group,

Mr. Ikari

who has established trading rules in the research group

has achieved profits for two consecutive years and is now attempting a third year of profits

in this stage.

Moreover, in this process, risk is gradually increased and enlarged in a planned way, and this part

is a deliberate and proactive attempt at profits that ordinary individual investors cannot imitate.

As if to say “continue with Mr. Ikari,”

the trainees continue to verify, but

one of them, stock investor Mr. O,

is verifying the mid-term trend following

and some interesting phenomena are becoming apparent in the verification results.

In the course of one year in the stock market,

there are clearly periods that are easily prone to being deceived.

This came about as Mr. O conducted verifications from various angles and asked the question

whether performance differs depending on the entry timing,

and actually checked it.

I was astonished when I saw the results.

The difference is so clear-cut that I was surprised...

If so, indeed, a period that is easily deceived

should be avoided by not entering, and

the performance would rise overwhelmingly.

This idea cannot simply be adopted by looking at the verification results

and turning it into a rule,

which would be dangerous because it relies on unsubstantiated

verification numbers alone under the name of “optimization.”

This could become a risky adjustment based on nothing.

However, since this is a trading research group under my supervision,

after seeing these results, we examine their reasons and

we can presume there is ample theoretical justification, so

this rule seems adoptable.

Mr. O’s rule is to target strong price movement in trends and enter accordingly,

and to turn about a month of trend into profit on average,

about one month of trend.

That roughly one-month trend

appears to occur more easily during certain periods,

and others not, clearly dividing over the year.

In order to advance trading more advantageously like this,

the preparatory work is past verification itself.

What past verification is and what items to check

can be learned in the online School FX Investment Power Building Course.

Specifically, to create trades that win more advantageously,