The translation of the given HTML is: The market is not a guess.
"I absolutely won't get angry, so tell me honestly!"
"Really? You won't get angry, then?"
But, as a result of speaking honestly, you will get scolded a lot. Mother, lover, wife... no matter how many years pass, the situation doesn't change, and once you say it, there's no chance of misjudging and cutting losses in the wrong direction.
Maybe it’s easier to manage market positions, I wonder if I’m the only one thinking that.
Profit-taking with a reversal is folly—.
When it rises after you buy, you think "this is the top!" and you take profit on the long position and simultaneously reverse into a short sale… did you think you were a god? Don’t get carried away, that’s the point.
Similarly, when you buy thinking it will rise and it instead falls... many people endure it. No, they endure it thinly.
In such cases, retreating early is the correct move, but "I thought it would go up and it went down!" and placing a reverse sell, in other words a “stop-loss reversal,” can be a valid move.
This might be an uncommon case, but you actually encounter it many times. Market responses are infinite, so it’s important to imagine from various angles.
Market forecasts are not accurate. It’s natural to try to “predict,” and the image of “predicting” is absolutely necessary, but the result does not hit the mark, or,“sometimes right, sometimes wrong”is the reality.
If only you profit, the price is determined by the buying and selling of market participants who think only of themselves, so unlike in the world of science, it is absolutely impossible for everyone to arrive at the correct answer, and it’s also impossible for a few people to consistently foresee the future.
Moreover, money is second only to life, so there is pressure to “predict.” If your prognosis is off, you’re forced to retreat and cut losses.
The more pressure, the lower the accuracy of the forecast, and sadly, it becomes the case that “rolling a die yields better results.”
Rolling a die yields better results... but even so, can you decide to buy or sell by rolling dice? That’s impossible, right?
Even if you confirm yourself that dice would have a higher hit rate, you absolutely cannot trade according to the dice roll.
Delving a bit into a strange angle, when you think about “what is a forecast,”“a logic to persuade someone”is what it might be, I think.
Who is that “someone”?
In securities, a salesman persuades their client; a fund manager persuades the purchasers (clients) of the fund; for an individual trader, it’s about persuading “oneself.” Could we describe market forecasts as explanations for that purpose?
You must not cling to it, yet it is absolutely necessary... a forecast is a mysterious thing.
■ Stock Investment [Tiger’s Den] (Lin Investment Research Institute Channel)
On February 18 (Fri), I uploaded the latest video.
Stock Investment [Tiger’s Den]
Stock Investment [Tiger’s Den] Good Nimban (averaging down) vs. Bad Nimban
When the stock you bought falls more than expected, you buy to lower the average price—that is not the same as nimban (averaging down) as a technique.
So, what is the correct nimban?
■ YouTube Channel Market Scramble
Tonight, the latest video from Market Scramble will also be released.
Please watch at the URL below. Enjoy!!
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