Unexpected deterioration in the New York Federal Reserve manufacturing index
My other BlogU.S. Economy Retail Sales Industrial Production: Kecofin Investment Informationon January 16,
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The Empire State Manufacturing Survey, which is used to gauge the ISM index, will be released on January 18.
If the figure comes in below 10, it could be a surprise, but that seems unlikely.
In the past, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey has hardly moved the market. However, in my memory, there were two or three times when it led a major inflection point.
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I wrote that,that Empire State Manufacturing Survey was released at ▲0.7.
Reference
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey, which is used to gauge the ISM index, showed an unexpected deterioration. About once in 10–20 years, this indicator marks the beginning of a market turning point. Caution is advised.