12/28 Tokyo USD/JPY exchange rate buy/sell points
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＜12/27 USD/JPY Results＞
Tokyo range: 114.33=49, New York range: 114.69=91
Tokyo forecast: “Technically, the monthly point at 114.35-40 should be surpassed, and we would like this week’s market to confirm a move toward the 115 yen level.”
In Tokyo, activity is expected to be quiet after the fixed rate decision. Predicted range: 114.20=40
In New York, if the monthly point is surpassed, there is an expectation to move toward the upper zone of 114.60=75.”
The result was a pleasant surprise: with gains in Tokyo from the afternoon, the monthly point at 114.35-40 was surpassed, and we actively initiated buy orders at that point.
In New York, the rise exceeded the upper zone expectations, reaching near the 115 yen target for the week, resulting in an unexpectedly large spread capture.
＜12/28 Tokyo USD/JPY Market＞
In Tokyo, the move didn’t quite reach New York“Attempting a peak test” at 115.00=10 is the key point.
There are two possible developments.
（1）The hoped-for “peak test” at 115.00=10 is realized. After achieving the weekly goal of the 115 yen range, it then declines to the maximum weekly point of 114.60-65. Estimated range: 114.65=115.05
（2）Unable to perform a peak test, movement stalls in the blank zone at 114.75=95, then finally adjusts downward to the “divergence zone” 114.60=70. Estimated range: 114.70=95
＜12/28 Tokyo USD/JPY Analysis Diagram＞
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