"Everything Becomes FX" Vol.013: A Weekly Trade That No One Can Tell Anyone
This “Investment Navigator Plus” is a report delivered every Sunday by the “everything becomes FX” who thinks about money management.
I want to share money matters not limited to FX markets, and the weekly positions I actually hold with a select group of readers.
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▼Table of Contents
―1. Current Situation
―2. Global Finance
―3. Weekly Trades No One Can Tell Anyone About
―4. Next Week’s Positions
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【PR】Turn FX losses into profits using capital management
A trading method that emphasizes “capital management,” which is often neglected in FX.
It enables trades that are not swayed by win rates or trading methods.
▼1. Current Situation
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The lead piece “Everything Becomes FX” moves domestically and internationally about half of each month. I’d like to inform you where I am now, what I’m seeing, and whom I’ve met and worked with domestically.
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In the previous issue, uploads were not possible due to an issue with fx-on. There were brief periods when it was publicly accessible, but then it became unavailable again (some articles remained accessible at the same time, so it may have been deleted)…
We apologize for any inconvenience to subscribers.
If there is an issue, we report it on Twitter (@subetegafx). Please check there for any future problems.
Because the previous issue was not issued, this issue contains two columns.
【Vol.012】
This week I am in Tokyo.
Toward the end of the month, I expect to stay in Tokyo for several recordings (I would like to travel somewhere domestically if possible).
Now, many people who are interested in FX or cryptocurrency are likely involved in asset management or think they want to become independent someday.
Indeed, there are many such people around me. Personally, I think being a company employee isn’t bad (it’s amazing to receive a stable salary every month whether or not you perform well), and I understand the circumstances.
If you don’t have a family, quitting a tough job isn’t a problem. The internet has spread, and there are abundant freelance opportunities through crowdsourcing.
Also, with your existing knowledge and skills, there are companies that will need them. Platforms like Wantedly, a business social network, frequently post jobs looking for such capabilities.
I don’t personally use those platforms myself, but many people I know who work with companies have found work through them. Venture companies with a keen sense of the times tend to embrace flexible work styles.
It’s hard to cover all living expenses solely with profits from financial products right away. Until you build up capital or acquire skills, it’s advisable to use those work styles.
I’m in the world of markets, but making your entire life depend on the markets seems a bit risky. Instead of the image of soaking in a tub of cash, choosing a more solid approach might be wise.
【Vol.013】
This week I’m in Tokyo again. As announced, the end of the month will be spent largely on composition and recording. If I were just composing, I could do that anywhere, but recording with third parties constrains the location…
Now, do you use social media? Since my FX account isn’t functioning very well, I don’t claim too much, but connections formed via Twitter and other social networks are not to be underestimated.
For example, around me people tweet daily FX trade records on Twitter, and some have become FX students as a result. By the way, how I met them was through a Web-related work network.
Just as cash has shifted to card payments and speculative financial products have moved from FX to cryptocurrency, it might be that information will move from organic search engines like Google to social media search.
When smartphones first appeared, we heard that such things wouldn’t catch on, while flip phones were phased out. I want to stay mindful not to become rigid with age.
▼2. Global Finance
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Many people trading FX spend time researching fundamentals and technical analysis.
But ironically, about 90% of FX participants incur losses, and many exit the market.
In this section, we will consider global finance while keeping a distance from those things.
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The weekly trades no one can tell anyone about achieved six consecutive wins for +102 pips.
However, I can’t loudly declare “Six wins in a row!”
These results are merely “coincidental.”
Going forward, there may be more consecutive wins, and there may be losses as well.
Moreover, the power of capital management is most fully unleashed after you start losing more and more. At that time, the majority of profits are produced by the damage from losses.
Because you don’t know when they’ll come, you must trade calmly and consistently at all times.
“Trading is boring and lacks excitement…”,
If you ever think that, it is evidence that your trading skills have improved significantly.
If you win and want to tell someone (a man boasting to a cabaret girl about stock gains, for example) or when you lose and your heart races, it’s further evidence that you’re being driven by gambling urges (and you may be trading too many contracts).
The discussion has wandered into economics, but recent financial products are dominated by Bitcoin-related price rises.
As long as this bubble continues, you can buy and hold for the time being, and when the price starts to fall, switch to speculative methods.
Even experts from other fields feel unsettled by this market’s short-term upswings and downturns (I’ve noticed this on Twitter).
Another note: the entry of DMM (specifically a subsidiary) and GMO into virtual currencies means this is roughly the same situation FX faced around 2007.
If the speculative positions and the breadth of the market expand as they did then, having a related website now could be quite advantageous…
Profits from bubbles may come from more than just the market (history teaches us this).
▼3. Weekly Trades No One Can Tell Anyone About
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A strategy that fully utilizes capital management in a trend-following and counter-trend portfolio: “Weekly Trades No One Can Tell Anyone About.”
Since the start of management in 2012, there has been no annual loss and total gains exceeding +30,000 pips.
What is the secret to profitability with a win rate of 48%? Here we present this week’s trade results.
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・This week’s results: +102 pips
・Total to date: +31,578 pips (rounded)
【Weekly Trade Results】
・Win rate: 48.6%
・Average win: +839.6 pips
・Average loss: -580.1 pips
・Largest win: +13,491 pips
・Largest loss: -2,932 pips
・PF: 1.37
・PR: 1.45
“Weekly Trades No One Can Tell Anyone About” uses positions with advantages drawn from the 1-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes and trends. Yet its essence lies more in capital management than in trading itself.
This method’s win rate is 48%. Because it feels like about 40% by “felt probability,” it cannot be recommended to those who require a win rate of over 80%. It is aimed at those who can think in long-term profits.
＞＞Overview of “Weekly Trades No One Can Tell Anyone About” is here
