Daily Report 10/27 #FX #CFD #Bitcoin #Stocks #Gold #Crude Oil

Publish date: 2017/10/27 08:40

1. Today's Fundamentals

October 27 (Fri) 21:30 USD GDP

22:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditures

2. Fusion Analysis

Yesterday's Market

• Yesterday, trading conditions were unsettled from Tokyo time to New York time. The movement suggested an exit strategy from the EU, and also who would hold the reins of the Fed chair? It became a tug‑of‑war market with TLT weakness and dollar weakness, so traders were waiting for direction.

Today’s Stance

• Algorithmic & fundamental analysis in a 4-to-6 ratio, with fundamentals favored in market judgment

Tokyo time: Nikkei, Asia adjustments for USD/JPY

EU time: Will the DAX continue to rise?

NY time: How far will dollar weakness and TLT weakness go? The weekend price level is important.

Today, focus on US GDP and personal consumption. Recently, with expectations for the Chinese Communist Party Congress, there is some wobble, and traders who crave market drivers. We want to confirm the US recovery path from the dollar direction and TLT weakness.

• Watch list outlook: charts to build scenarios

DAX BTC

• Position sizing: 1–5; ☆1 light probing, 2–3 probing, 4–5 normal to larger size ☆

Current market positioning shows position size of 1. Probing level

Impression that many names are undergoing adjustments

3. Financial Markets: Brief notes in order of attention

TLT 122.43: Downward pressure, previous close −0.33%

→ Bond market: Downward pressure per genetic algorithm; oscillator indicators in oversold territory; cross-market analysis suggests higher equities, lower gold, weaker dollar, leading to mixed market directions. We maintain a neutral stance while watching.

Gold 1266: Box pattern; neutral; range 1400–1200; day-over-day +0.03%

Crude Oil 52.65: Uptrend; range 55–47; day-over-day −0.28%

• Bitcoin correlation: dollar? stocks? commodities? → TLT, commodities moving in tandem

Dow 23,400: Uptrend with a pullback; 24,900–22,550; day-over-day +0.31%

Nikkei 21,859: Uptrend with a pullback; 23,800–19,800; day-over-day +0.05%

DAX 13,133: Uptrend with a pullback; 13,800–12,600; day-over-day +1.39%

Dollar Index 93.53: Testing the upper box of 94–95; Box pattern; day-over-day −0.09%

Dollar/Yen: continuing rise; EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, NZD/JPY, AUD/JPY: adjustments

Dollar Crosses: EUR pairs, GBP pairs, commodity currencies, AUD pairs, NZD pairs: bearish bias

In a dollar‑weak environment, re-evaluate the downside for dollar crosses in the short to medium term. USD/JPY continues to rise; intermarket analysis indicates TLT weakness, stock adjustments; Swiss franc strength and Bitcoin strength suggest a shift in market allocation.

Genetic algorithm and oscillator indicators are not yet giving a clear direction; waiting for a consolidation phase.

4. Day Trading Rhythm as of 7:01 ☆ How to Read and Use ☆

Ticker | Day trading perspective | Market trend / Attention level / Safety assessment

TLT US Treasuries price ↓ | Bearish | Downtrend / B

Dow → ↓ Bullish | Upward adjustment trend / B

Nikkei ↓↑ Bullish | Uptrend / A

DAX ↓↑ Bullish | Uptrend / A

EURUSD → ↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

EURGBP → ↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

GBPUSD→↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

AUDUSD →↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

NZDUSD →↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

USDCHF ↑ Bullish | Upward trend / A

USDJPY ↑ Bullish | Upward trend / C

EURJPY ↓ Bullish | Upward trend; watch for adjustments / D

GBPJPY ↓ Bullish | Upward trend; watch for adjustments / D

AUDJPY ↓ Bearish | Downward trend; buying opportunity / D

NZDJPY ↓ Bearish | Downward trend; buying opportunity / D

GOLD ↓ Bullish | BOX pattern; bottom formation / D

WTI ↑ Bullish | Uptrend / A

BTCUSD →↑ Bullish | Uptrend / A

BTCJPY →↑ Bullish | Uptrend / A

BCCBTC ↓ Neutral | BOX / B

BCCUSD ↑ Bullish | Uptrend / A

XRPUSD ↑↓ Bearish | Rebound in progress / B

ETHUSD → Bearish | BOX / B

ETCUSD → Bearish | BOX / B

LTCUSD → Bearish | BOX / B

NEMUSD → Neutral | BOX / B

MANAUSD ↑→ Bullish | Upward adjustment trend; Buy signal / B

XRPBTC ↑→ Bearish | Rebound in progress / B

ETHBTC ↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

ETCBTC ↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

LTCBTC ↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

NEMBTC ↓ Bearish | Downtrend / B

MANA/BTC ↑→ Bullish | Upward adjustment trend; Buy signal / B

PS: Crypto analyst? Not exactly—I'm an algorithmic trader. The answer must set a stance, yet the path ahead is pressing for a choice!

☆ How to Read and Use ☆

Example: Dow →↑ Bullish 21187~20490; Short- to mid-term; BOX rising; Long-term rising / A

Direction Scenario indicates the imagined price development

BOX Forecast: daily-based quantitative analysis; 2–3 weeks of development; key upside and downside points

Note: Range expressions are unified as BOX

Average daily range: use as a reference for day-trading strategy

Example: 100 is the average range; if price moves 50 from the open, consider it still moving; if it moves 100, decide not to move today. Also, stop ratios and a 150-stop-loss line, etc.—take profits around a 100 move; today, do not move further. Use as a reference value

Reference for short-term swing trading: price development image

Short-term: daily chart analysis; 2–3 weeks outlook

Medium-to-long-term: position trade reference; price development image

Medium-term: weekly chart analysis; several months to half a year

Long-term: monthly chart analysis; over one year

Attention level: measure market focus and assess market confidence. If A or B, trading environment is favorable for new trades and continuing positions; if E or D, consider pausing trading or unwinding positions

Attention levels A–E: A excellent, B good, C watch/neutral, D somewhat risky, E dangerous

Watchlist Symbols

Symbol | Confirmed price | Week-over-week | Symbol’s view and scenario

Bitcoin USD 4154 | Week-over-week −4.34% | BOX pattern

Expressed as such

→ Bitcoin market: brief notes on each market and symbol are described

Day Trading Rhythm ☆ How to Read and Use ☆

1) Today’s Perspective and View

Today, we consider trading in the direction of this trend; it is a point-and-line analysis.

Depending on market conditions, it can expire quickly. It is ultra-short-term in view.

We forecast the main trend that will drive the market

Notation example

Rising ↑

Falling ↓

Waiting →

BOX pattern →

Buy signal: buy and wait with a bullish view

Sell signal: sell and wait with a bearish view

Probe: before full trading, open a small position to test the meaning of the trade

Bullish, bearish, and neutral; evaluating the trend consolidation; BOX market assessment

Note: Changes in rhythm may lead to ultra-short-term scenario changes and possible expiry. Exercise caution.

3) Attention Level: 1–2 fusion analysis of the day’s symbols—focus and safety

Attention Level A–E: A very good, B good, C watch/neutral, D somewhat risky, E dangerous

A rating: favorable market conditions; new trades and holding positions

B rating: adjustment, pullback; new probing; hold

C rating: neutral, watch, observe; confirm characteristics; consider taking profits

D rating: reconsider scenario; take profits; hold new trades

E rating: not a trading target; keep an eye on the stock

☆ Market Time Characteristics: Trend analysis and entry analysis

Identifying the market trend cycle is important

NY trend is considered the consensus direction for global markets

Basic flow: NY trend → Tokyo wait → EU adjust or rebound → cycle to NY

☆ Generally, use NY time and NY trend as the axis for trend analysis and enter in the same direction

Tokyo time: wait; review NY; form trading image

EU time: volatility; confirm Tokyo-trend; many cases of consolidation or reversal

NY time: confirm NY trend and ride this flow

☆ Day-of-week Characteristics: Entry analysis guided by day characteristics

Monday: wait; confirm held positions; domestic meetings

Tuesday: adjust scenario; global strategy meeting

Wednesday: adjust scenario; reconsider; trading somewhat favorable

Thursday and Friday: trading opportunities

Saturday and Sunday: Bitcoin liquidity increases

Sky Fox / Bitcoin / FX, CFDs, Commodities, Stock Indices / International Financial Market Newsletter

Monthly price 5,546 yen

10/27 Bitcoin/International Financial Analysis (Forex, CFDs) ~ From the Sky Fox Newsletter ~