Central Plains Jump Report NASDAQ & Mothers No.028 July 5, 2021

1. Points

＜Nasdaq＞
1. Medium to long-term outlook (the March 2021 13-month cycle bottom. Possible rise toward year-end, but a range may occur due to the influence of the “1” year)
Starting from February 2016, the long-term cycle began. The high-price target is June 2021 ±1 year, with a price around 12,174 (9,481–17,404). A full top-out has not yet been confirmed. The March 2021 13-month cycle bottom. If bullish, prices may rise from September 2021 to February 2022, overlapping with high-price time zones in synthetic terms. However, due to the habit of the ‘1’ year, a range may remain after June.

2. Short-term outlook (the 18th week of the 22.3-week cycle. The rise is in the 8th week and a sharp pullback should be watched)
The 18th week of the computer cycle. The current 22.3-week cycle has two HPCs (or a composite pattern) and is very strong. From the perspective of the 22.3-week cycle, this week may be a top-out period. Targets are ① 14,816–30 ② 15,777–937. In the longer term, even if the second 13-month cycle centers, it will likely rise until September 2021, or more reasonably until February 2022.

3. Points of caution (adjustment around the first week of August when the second 9-month cycle bottom is expected)
No immediate sharp decline should begin, and bottoming out around the first week of August when the second 9-month cycle bottom is anticipated.

＜Tokyo Stock Exchange Mothers’ Market＞
1. Medium to long-term outlook (Is the 15.3-month cycle bottom complete?)
From April 2020, a new 46-month cycle. The average rising period for a 46-month cycle is 24 ± 4 months (19–28 months). Bullish until April 2022 (January–August 2022). The 15.3-month cycle is earliest on May 17, but around July (through September) is also acceptable.

2. Short-term outlook (the 7th week of the new 21.2-week cycle. Time zone for the first MC bottom)
The first 21.2-week cycle of the 15.3-month cycle has started. If the first MC has not yet ended, this week will be a central time window. Conversely, if June 21 was a somewhat early MC bottom, the second MC will be in its second week and should rise quite solidly. In any case, all pullbacks are in a buy zone.

3. Points of caution (if the 15.3-month cycle has not completed, the 21.2-week cycle may extend, and the decline may continue)
The 15.3-month cycle can extend up to September at most. In this case, the 21.2-week cycle is extended, and at least the decline continues until around July, the central time zone of the cycle, and then drops sharply.

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