Super simple & with a good risk-return ratio: a 1-position EA『If Rah』

Forward period 8 months or more, PF 2.15, win rate 78%

Return during the period +51%

“If Rah”

■ Swing trading with 1-lot operation! The risk-reward ratio is favorable, so stable operation is expected.

Trailing starts from 28 pips, averaging around 40 pips, with a maximum of 160 pips

Pips earned are around 40 pips on average, with a maximum of 160 pips.

Additionally,the win rate is stable at 78%,and therefore the share that hits the maximum stop loss of 125 pips is quite low.

■ Forward performance of six months or more!

Forward operation started in December 2016. It slowly accumulates profits in a swing-like manner, and recently its true value has begun to emerge!

（From forward statistics）

July was strong: +292 pips!

In January, there were no trades due to the logic not trading, so the number of trades is 0.

■ Backtesting view of ‘If Rah’

There is a backtest spanning about 9 years from 2008 to 2017, but

the data becomes enormous due to the many trailing-stop modifications,

and individual trade results could not be obtained in full.

Therefore we can only report averages; with a fixed 0.1 lot, about 9 years yield +7,200 pips,

per year around 800 pipsis roughly.

The maximum drawdown at that time was $719.

With 0.1 lot and 300,000 yen capital, drawdown is 24% and annual return is about 26%.

This level is considered a very safe operating standard.

Currently, the earned pips are＋560pips, so

■ With 1-lot operation fixed, you can control profitability by considering drawdown.

Parameters are very simple; there is basically only the number of lots to adjust.

One-lot operation, so considering the possibility of a maximum stop loss125 pips × consecutive losses,

Recommended for those who want to run it leisurely with swing trading.

”If Rah is a simple MACD-based trend-following EA.

The simplicity keeps the logic from becoming obsolete.

What you must beware of when building an EA is over-optimization.
While repeated optimization can dramatically improve recent performance, many logics that collapse the asset curve soon after deployment flood the market.

On the other hand, by trimming parameters, the PF (Profit Factor) may drop somewhat, but it becomes an EA that yields steady long-term profits.

This EA minimizes parameters as much as possible and is developed with the aim of allowing long-term profits in all market conditions while maintaining a high PF and low drawdown.
Because the logic does not become obsolete, once you set the EA you can just leave it running.”The strongest trend-following EA