5.17 Trends evident from ISM, employment statistics, CPI, and retail sales
This article is not intended to indicate or recommend buy or sell timing.
Please make your own investment decisions.
By looking at the economic indicators from the early May employment statistics, the dollar market, and the stock market, it is possible to predict the general direction to some extent.
First, the employment statistics that worsened significantly.
Versus an expected 1 million, it came in at 260,000, delivering a negative surprise and starting May’s market.
In response, the market reacted with U.S. Treasury buying.
Subsequently, U.S. interest rates dipped slightly below 1.5 and then rebounded sharply.
And from the previous downtrend, it has turned to an upward trend in interest rates.
Recently, the themes have been monetary easing reduction and inflation concerns.
Probably this will remain a simmering theme until the start of tapering.
I would like to record in this article how to interpret the indicators once they are released and how to view the reactions to the results.
× ![]()