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03/19/2021 05:52
Release： 03/19/2021 05:52
Update： 04/20/2021 00:48
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Go To Shibata Lines Waning Nesting Investment … Slow 10% return in a short term (average 3 months)
Introduction of low-risk, steady, stable investment methods in the Corona era by Shiroshima NoboruMy Recent StatusFor the past 7–8 years I have hardly engaged in the investment world, continuing at Rakuten Securities with a weekly market forecast and five stocks analysis using Shibata's kaisen lines for over a decade. However, due to personal circumstances and the Corona issue, I closed my Tokyo office and returned to Nagasaki at the beginning of this year. The market, under the view that the Corona problem would worsen the global economy, has seen money be pumped into the world by central banks, directing funds toward the stock market regardless of economic downturns. However, stock market gains are driven by financial institutions and large funds that move indices, so only those who have capital—individuals who profit—benefit. Those with less capital continue to gamble on picking stock that could make a fortune, profit or incur losses, and eventually leave the stock market. Therefore, during the Corona era, when I spent more time at home and income declined, I began to consider that stocks were the only means to earn income and wondered if I could apply the “low risk, steady, stable” investment method using Shibata’s kaisen lines.As a homebound investment in the Corona era, Practical implementation of Shibata Kaisen “Visualization” Investment (Let’s Become Small-Moneyed)） The impact of the global economy and society from the spread of the Corona infection was initially thought to settle within a year, but in Europe and America it has worsened further. Japan has calmed down, but even as this calm persists, we must adapt to a new economic life. This means continuing in a new normal, creating our own life patterns in a low interest, low price, low growth environment. Just as the food service industry has been hit, individuals are increasingly shopping at supermarkets and eating at home via takeout, and in the future we need to explore how to enjoy life within the home. However, what we need is money. Because salaries are decreasing, the future is unclear, and at the same time investing feels dangerous and there is no method to increase money. Japanese investors often depend on the opinions of so-called successful investment advisors, or trust one-sided systems, resulting in not investing at all (I have experienced this many times). Investors are not simply drawn in by marketing slogans like “a stock will skyrocket” or “stocks that will double from here,” but should carry out the minimum actions themselves—select the stock and decide the buying price. The result should be a low-risk, steady, stable investment method, which is the visualization investment of Shibata’s kaisen lines. Rakuten Securities provides five stocks each week (note: buy/sell points are not provided). The proportion of stocks that rose 10% or more within three months from the closing price on the day of providing the result is nearly 70%. Origin of Shibata Kaisen: Introduction to Shibata Akihiro’s Autobiography(Flash Player is required to view)Please view from here Instead of merely providing stocks, I plan to share market know-how, attitudes, and approach to market engagement as part of informationWhat is the battle with the market? It is a battle with oneself, a battle with desire and fearIntroduction to Go to Shibata Kaisen Please view from here Performance in March 2021 Please view from here Performance in January 2021 Please view from here Performance from October to December 2020 Please view from here Performance from March to August 2020 Please view from here Subscription Fee“Visualization Investment” Monthly Fee 7,800 yenWeekly Program to Become a Small-Wallet InvestorMon This week’s forecast Tue Market know-how, etc. Thu Five stocks for next week Note: On Wednesdays (market philosophy series, Shibata’s 108-volume collection, market proverb series, etc.) one of them will be published If Wednesday falls on a holiday, or if Monday is a holiday (this week’s forecast will be published on Tuesday), publications may be made even if the above conditions apply depending on market conditions. Thank you for your understanding.Stocks provided to Rakuten Securities can be viewedOn this site, the comments for stocks provided to Rakuten Securities are more detailedPlease view here About the subscription feeGogoJungle mainly offers card payments If you prefer bank transfer, please contact usContact us here
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Next week's 5 stocks

(3630)Computing Systems


From Four Seasons (Shikiho) industry: Information and Communications.

【Features】Mid-sized company developing information processing services. Expanding collection agency duties such as bill payments. Also expanding as a sales agent for Google.

【Flat trend】 Although gift processing services were hit by event cancellations, segments like auto auctions and education-related services grew, and operating profit increased.21year12month period shows gradual recovery in events. Bill payment processing grows. Although international remittance remains in a delicate profit, operating profit remains around flat.

【Smart Glasses】 Sales of apps for wearable devices began. Streamlining on-site work through remote support. Data center in Toki city expanding. Aiming for richer functionality and further expansion considered.

Announced on February 1, 2021.2021年2月1日発表。2021年12月期本決算予想は、前年同期比で営業利益＋0.5％の28.50億円、経常利益＋0.1％の29.20億円と6期連続の増収・増益の見通

2016年2月12日の1253円を安値とする上昇トレンドの中で、2019年5月13日に4390円の高値をつけ、5月29日の4280円を２点天井にして下降トレンド（A）に転換しました。この中で8月29日に2672円まで下げて反発するものの、10月30日の31252020年1月31日の30503月13日に1643B）へ移行し、巣篭もり投資の需要拡大で収益が拡大し、①7月14日の4790円、②7月28日の4880円、③7月30日の4860C）となりました。この下降トレンド（C）の中で9月11日の341010月14日の407530003月11日に下降トレンド（C）を横もみでぬけて3295円で買転換となっています。

Buy point
3100～3300円

Profit taking
3600～3800円

Stop loss
3月5日の2956

(1414)Showa Bond Holdings


From Four Seasons (Shikiho) industry: Construction.

【Features】 Specialist in infrastructure repair works such as bridges and roads. Integrating repair materials development and sales with construction. Sound finances.

【Significant dividend increase】 Order backlog at end of September708 billion yen (up 2.9% YoY) and at historical highs. Repair work for expressways abundant in backlog. Expected to expand with seismic retrofits of bridges. Although personnel expansion and wage increases push payroll costs higher, net income is at its peak.

【New structure】 Review of 5 regional offices and introduction of internal company system split into East and West Japan. Implementing staffing aligned with order status to uncover regional projects.21 In 2021, plan to construct a new training facility in Tsukuba City.
年月日発表。年月期本決算予想は、前年同期比で営業利益＋12.9％の146.00億円、経常利益＋11.8％の151.009期連続の増収・増益の見通し。

2017年11月16日の安値からの大きな上下動（ボックスＡ）の中で、2018年9月27日の4790円で一番天井、2020年1月21日の47902020年3月13日の3160B）へ移行しました。この中で11月25日の5630円の高値をつけて大幅下落となり、今年の1月20日に4500

出島昇の柴田罫線からみたポイント

Box (A) within the range,A) higher high of 4790 on January 21, 2020 became the top; during the COVID crash on March 13, 2020, it fell to 3160 and bottomed, then moved to an uptrend (B). Within this,2020年月21日の4790円を天井にコロナ相場の急落局面で2020年3月13日に3160B）へ移行しました。この中で6月1日の50408月7日の450511月25日に5630円の高値をつけ、2021年1月20日の45002月12日の4870円まで反発してもみあっています。円水準は２点底の形となっており、下値は固まっているようです。但し、円を終値で切るといったん損切りとなります。

Buy point
円
円

Profit taking
円

Stop loss

(3050)DCM Holdings


From Four Seasons (Shikiho) industry: Retail.

【Features】 Home improvement store (HIC) industry leader. Under its umbrella Homac in Hokkaido, Kama in Chukyo, Daiki in Shikoku, etc.

【Further increases】 New stores 9, closures 7 (previous term 9 and 7 respectively). Existing stores earn with gardening and DIY in the first half. PB ratio rising, gross margin improving, wage restraint also advancing and profit growing. No gains from land sales. Dividend increase.22 year February期 shows existing stores decline as a special demand fades.

【Error in calculation】 The largest1630billion yen acquisition of Shimachu, the seventh largest in the industry, fell through due to Nippon's TOB price increase. Still intends more M&A in the industry, and aims to supply PB products to potential partners.
年月年月期本決算予想は、前年同期比で営業利益＋44.5301.0046.7295.009期連続の増収・増益の見通し。

2015629日の121151233年月日の2017166円とダブル底に近い形となって反発しています。

出島昇の柴田罫線からみたポイント

2020円とダブル底に近い型となっています。信用期日を迎え買い有利といえます。

Buy point
10701135円

Profit taking
1300円以上

Stop loss
信用期日を迎え買い有利となり、現時点で損切りはありません


(4116)


From Four Seasons (Shikiho) industry: Chemical.

【Features】 Pigment-based business, expanding into inks and resins. Leading in synthetic resin colorants. High value-added polymers are growing.

【Upside】 Display materials are strong, overseas recovery as well. In the second half, automotive colorants are recovering. Expect a reactionary decline at year-start; the company revises profit upward, underestimating.22年３月期は好採算の自動車向け部材が底入れ。

【Transformation】In 2021, August will hold first new mid-term plan and company briefing. Aiming to increase awareness of SDGs contributions by identifying and disclosing products with high SDG impact.
2021年2月12日発表。年3月期本決算予想は、前年同期比で営業利益－19.639.0010.450.003期連続の減収・減益の見通し。

2018102383512月25230525003500115円で上放れとなっています。

Buy point
円
円

Profit taking
円
円

Stop loss










　









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Registration Number for Financial Instruments Business: No. 1960 - Kanto Finance Bureau (Gold Trading)
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No. 1960 - Kanto Finance Bureau (Gold Trading)
A member of General Incorporated Association
Japan Investment Advisers Association
Financial Services Agency Japan Investment Advisers Association Financial Instruments Mediation Assistance Center Securities and Exchange Surveillance Commission

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