2017.7.12 06:50 The movement forecast and scenarios for USD/JPY
Dollar/Yen Forecast: Reflecting on the Previous Dollar/Yen Price Movement Forecast
In fact, it was a fairly difficult situation and a development that was hard to predict. I managed to publish a forecast on Sunday, but on Tuesday, I woke up at 5:00 a.m. to check emails, responded to various questions, and by the time I was done sending those responses, I was tired. Also, since the blog ranking banner wasn't being clicked much, my motivation didn't rise, so I eventually stopped analyzing early and went back to sleep. After taking two days off, I remembered how comfortable it felt to rest, so I’m writing articles purely based on motivation this time.Previous Dollar/Yen Forecast: 2017.7.9 13:30 Post Scenario (Click the image to go to the article)
Previous Dollar/Yen Forecast: 2017.7.10 Dollar/Yen 60-Minute Chart
Today’s Dollar/Yen Forecast: Building a Scenario for Dollar/Yen Movement
From the ultra-short-term chart, a drop to around 113.650–113.500 wouldn’t be surprising, but since 160MA is extending around 113.600, this area is quite likely to be watched. If you break below this level with a 60-minute close and the 20MA crosses below the 160MA, a downtrend would likely begin.＜Posted 2017.7.12 06:40＞
• Scenario 1
If the price breaks above 113.750–950, it could extend to around 114.050, forming a range. A break above around 114.050 could push to about 114.200–300. A break below around 114.050 could bring it down to around 113.800.
• Scenario 2
If the price breaks below 113.750–950, it could fall to around 113.600 and then recover to roughly 113.870–960. After that, it may return to the 113.750–950 range, or move lower again, potentially breaking the prior low to fall to 113.450–113.000.
The article contains a password.If the price breaks above 113.750–950, it could extend to around 114.050, forming a range. A break above around 114.050 could push to about 114.200–300. A break below around 114.050 could bring it down to around 113.800.
• Scenario 2
If the price breaks below 113.750–950, it could fall to around 113.600 and then recover to roughly 113.870–960. After that, it may return to the 113.750–950 range, or move lower again, potentially breaking the prior low to fall to 113.450–113.000.
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