Even though risk-on, it feels like a huge hit and I’m about to die… The unrealized loss has surpassed 1,000,000 yen even without cross yen hedges (・_・;)
The introductions to social lending continued, so I couldn't talk about the main topics of FX, Nikkei 225, and crude oil futures, and this time I’ll report on the current status of those areas.
Before that, a note on Trust Lending
A social lending service that attracts with direct transfers, opening an account + newsletter registration earned 1,500 yen, and completing an investment earned 3,500 yen
A total of 5,000 yen was available, but it ended at the end of June. Also, it seems there are no funds currently募集 (recruiting)
（I must have behaved well daily, because I barely met the条件 with a late entry
）
Also, this is about social lending in general,
【Don’t rely on anything that uses stock as collateral】There was a description like this.
It is said,『What value does a company’s stock have at that moment if the company’s debt repayments start to fall behind?』…that was the指摘 (comment).
Indeed, even if a company that borrowed money goes downhill, real estate value doesn’t drop, so “collateral is real estate” has meaning, but if their own stock is used as collateral, obviously the stock price would crash and there would be little value as collateral, I understand and agree.
Well, there probably aren’t many social lending platforms that take stock as collateral, but I think this is knowledge worth knowing.
【EUR/USD is a disaster
】
Trump, whether you like him or not, pursues only American interests, which should be a plus for the US economy, I think...
On the other hand, the euro is seen as at a turning point and is being bought, but Greece has received additional support, and rate hikes are still a ways off. In the meantime, the US will likely raise rates several times, so EUR/USD would stay in a range or look for lower levels. Yet in the past week it has surged… it had been steady since late April, but I believed it would crash someday, and now it’s surged in the opposite direction...
The 4-hour chart of EURUSD shows an unmistakable uptrend
What happened to the 100,000 units of EUR/USD that I held?
Unrealized P/L: -889,451 yen
If this continues, it will soon exceed -1,000,000 yen
Moreover, since the rise in the euro is also lifting the Swiss franc, it’s risk-on, but the long USD/CHF is also in ruins, you know?
Even USD/CHF, which should benefit from a risk-on environment, has-222,968 yen as a huge loss
Trump is a selfish guy who only thinks about his own country’s interests, but isn’t that why the dollar is a good buy?
Why is the dollar index also in ruins?
It’s really hard to understand.
Help me
Bonus: crude oil futures
I was doing manual Tralappi trading in both buy and sell directions, but due to the continuously falling oil price, I accumulated mostly long positions, totaling 100 contracts?
This has improved a bit, and at the worst I had zero short positions and about 125 long positions, with unrealized losses approaching 1 million yen.
In a risk-on environment with global stock market highs, even South African rand and Turkish lira were holding up, so please buy oil, too
Please
For a while I’ll just collect social lending dividends and go to sleep in a huff
【The highest rate cashback point sitePoint Income】
(Public release to the purchaser: please rewrite this section)
