Winning rate 99% Why an EA with a profit factor of 2.0 cannot win

Proposing a New Concept Indicator for Discretionary Traders Who Haven't Seen Results Yet

Even though you’ve taken a position...

 

 

Just because you try to study, doesn’t mean you will...

 

You’re tired from work
and you can’t continue

You have no time
and can’t memorize

 

 

Up to now you’ve tried indicators, but...

It doesn’t feel right

 

 

After all, you want to trade with discretion rather than systems

 

 

If you have such concerns,

and if you’re not achieving the results you expect,

the principle indicators of market fundamentals

can meet your expectations.

 

On this page,

we will publicly disclosewithout any secrets.

 

The reason even beginners can know how far the market will move with one click

 

Ah, that ●● you closed out back then extended this far...

 

Many of us have had that experience, right?

 

“Why did I close out then? If only I had noticed sooner, I could have earned more!”

I’ve experienced such moments many times, so I understand that frustration.

 

However, the truth is“how far this will extend (or how far it will fall)”is something that can be predicted with high reproducibility using technical analysis.

 

First, why technical analysis and why is it so reproducible?

To be direct: charts are traces of human actions,

andtechnical analysis is a statistical data of human actionsover time.

 

The thrill of large profits

the anxiety and fear when unrealized losses grow

the impulse to lock in profits quickly

the urge to recover losses...

 

When people feel these emotions intensely,

the instinct drives impulsive actions

and the probability becomes very high.

 

 

 

 

is technical analysis.

 

Even beginners can know their target value like famous traders with a single click!

 

Here, by “technical analysis” we mean

not indicators like moving averages, RSI, MACD

not merely technical indicators.

 

technical indicators are only a small part

of technical analysis.

 

see technical analysis as only technical indicators

 

 

the least important among technical analyses.

 

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What Elliott Wave Theory is 　  Proposed by Ralph Nelson Elliott A cycle theory of the market 1 cycle consists offive waves up and three waves down, forming eight waves

 

If you visualize Elliott Wave cycles, it looks like this.

＜Image illustrating Elliott Waves＞

 

If you understand these Elliott Waves, you can think like

 

“The rise seems about to pause and correction may begin.”
“The correction may end around this level.”

 

and thus you can anticipate market rhythms in advanceand where price will move next.

 

Moreover, to some extent,you can have a gauge of how far price may move.

 

When I posted on a famous bulletin board,

using Elliott Wave theory I predicted intraday price moves with great accuracy

 

The reason the predictions were so accurate was that I discovered and deeply understood the rhythmic law of Elliott Waves by chance.

 

 

 

Source: FX site GogoJiang — Kinchanbbh3’s newsletter/review

※The contents are personal impressions.

 

the ability to predict price movements based on an Elliott Wave law that was discovered by chance, and

how strong the level of price movement can be

 

 

 

 

 

The USD/KRW 1-hour chart post-video is spot on

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This level of utility and reproducibilityis what

I developed a tool that outputs Elliott Wave target values on the chart with one click

including not only Elliott Waves but also chart patterns like flags and pennants and Fibonacci retracements

 

 

 

as outputs.

 

 

 

 

The Market Principles Indicator is designed to convert the difficult-to-master knowledge of “how far price will move” into an indicator for beginners, and in advance provide discretionary traders with consistent exit points.

 

your discretionary trading will become easier and easier to win.

 

The reason I, a former Self-Defense Forces member, suddenly achieved results in discretionary trading

 

I served in the Self-Defense Forces for a long period from my teens to my 40s.

In the Army, I struggled with bullying from above and developed depression,

and even though I had planned to retire at the mandatory age, I unexpectedly left the force.

I encountered a bullying superior during a transfer,

 

 

despite guaranteed stability as a special national public servant,
the world can be cruel like this.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I had a history of trading, so I knew my expected value.

I took a proper break from the market during a bad spell and verified highly reproducible phenomena.

Even if it’s by chance,I gained highly reproducible skills.

 

 

 

 

The image above shows my early trading records and lessons learned (parts related to know-how are omitted).

To win in the market, you must use your weapons—knowledge, strategy, discipline, etc.—with the overall capability to beat the opponent on the other side of the screen.

 

If you flip it, if you improve your overall capability, you can win in the market.

 

 

To do that, you first need to analyze which weapons you can rely on in the market, and what you lack.

 

 

The crystallization of hard-earned effort and chance encounters

isthe Market Principles Indicator.

 

Rewriting the conventional FX indicators! That’s why it works! A new concept in indicators

 

Until now, indicators in the FX world focused on timing entries; arrows would appear at entry points and exit arrows would appear at exit points.This is a focus on entries.

 

 

 

 

With the traditional indicator approach,

but trading itself depended on the internal logic of the indicator,and the discretionary trader would have to rely on which signs the indicator misses—as soon as the indicator ceases to be effective, profits vanish.

 

In addition, risk/reward was not known in advance, so there was no standard for what win rate would produce a positive expectancy.

※Risk/Reward means the ratio of potential reward to potential loss

 

Therefore, no matter how much you log your trades,you cannot know your expectancy, making it hard for discretionary traders to win consistently.

 

In other words, traditional indicators that only tell you whether to act or not cannot improve your investing skills.

 

High win-rate EAs are not necessarily high-profit either! The industry’s inconvenient truth

 

So what about automated trading? In the market, you see claims of win rates above 95% and PF over 2.0 everywhere, right?

Suppose there is an EA with 99% win rate and a Profit Factor (PF) of 2.0. If you had 100 trades with 99 wins and 1 loss, the average win would be 20,000 yen / 99 = 202 yen, and the average loss would be 10,000 yen / 1 = 10,000 yen.

 

 

Risk/Reward is 10,000 yen risk for 202 yen gain, i.e., 0.0202 reward per unit risk.

 

Even with a high win rate, this approach fails unless win rate is above about 98%, otherwise capital declines.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A new concept: the Market Principles Indicator

First, the exit point is output on the MT4 chart.

 

Also,by choosing entry points you can recognize risk/reward in advance,and the consistent exit accuracy makes trade journaling more effective.

 

As data accumulates, expectancy accuracy increases, enabling discretionary traders to identify opportunities with higher confidence.

 

Moreover, unlike high-win-rate EAs,balanced win rate and risk/reward lets a trader win even with a 50% win rate.

 

Professional traders emphasize controlling risk over chasing high win rates.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The strongest private investor cis bets on expectancy

 

cis did not win with fundamental analysis; at one point he nearly quit trading, but at a 2channel meetup, he switched to short-term momentum trading and built his wealth.

 

Prioritize growing profits,win rate around 30%,

but when he wins, he makes profits 10–20 times larger than the risk taken.

 

He reportedly earned 23 billion yen by focusing on total profits rather than win rate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is no key for discretionary traders that guarantees wins.

 

Because it’s a different type of indicator, it also synergizes with high-quality information products

 

 

 

From origin to peak! Natural understanding of buying the dips and selling the rallies

 

There are countless methods labeled as trading tactics, but most fail in the market or disappear after a few years.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Market Principles Indicator outputs Elliott Wave starting points with a single click,and automatically draws target values and Fibonacci retracements on the chart.

 

Not only can you visually see exit points, but you also can identify powerful entry points that reflect natural law governing human behavior.

 

 

This supports high-caliber trading at all times.

 

How to eliminate retirement or future anxieties with the fastest, most efficient investment skills
Investment skills

 

As of June 3, 2019, the Financial Services Council Market Working Group reported that even with pension benefits, monthly average shortfall is about 50,000 yen.By retirement age, you may face a shortfall of 13–20 million yen for post-retirement life

 

.

 

As pension funding remains uncertain, a bill was considered to broaden the pension starting age from 65 to 75.

 

In the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, government actions are questionable, but for securing retirement funds, relying on government is not feasible anymore; you must take control yourself.

 

However, general employees and public employees who are prohibited from side businesses have limited income until retirement.

 

With rising concerns about health due to COVID-19, company closures and layoffs, and growing future anxieties, there is a surge in online brokerage accounts opening.

 

 

If you do the same as these people, you will absolutely not achieve results.

 

The Market Principles Indicator leverages Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci Retracements, and chart patterns—high-level knowledge that many new traders hesitate to approach—delivered in an easy-to-use indicator that you can learn quickly.

 

 

 

 

The timing may be the last chance for you to acquire this knowledge and enjoy profits

 

Reasons for releasing the Market Principles Indicator to the world

 

 

 

 

Similarly, the market has its own set of principles.They apply regardless of asset class.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Some comments from YouTube channel viewers are more credible than reviews from paid newsletters.

※The content published here is a personal impression.

 

 

However,as technical analysis has become common globally over many years, its reproducibility has not diminished.

There are billions of people trading with technical analysis.

 

Here, even if hundreds, thousands or tens of thousands use this logic, it will not change anything.

 

 

 

 

 

In the widely used newsletter, consistently high accuracy

 

◆ USD/JPY 4-hour chart output of target values in advance

◆ USD/JPY 4-hour chart result: 108.352 ⇒ 109.720

※The tools shown in the images are not Market Principles Indicators; they are EAs using the same calculation logic.

 

 

Golly for large FX moves on GBP/JPY too...

 

◆ GBP/JPY 15-minute chart output in advance

◆ GBP/JPY 15-minute chart result: 136.200 ⇒ 147.945

※The tools shown in the images are not Market Principles Indicators; they are EAs using the same calculation logic.

 

The newsletter has been used by more than 1,000 people, and despite no affiliate incentives, the average review is nearly perfect.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trading example by someone who has a scale for Elliott Wave third wave target

 

 

(From the Stock-Measure era, earlier generation of the Market Principles Indicator user LINE message)

 

 

 

 

With one click, output the starting point candlestick of the Elliott Wave, instantly output waves 1–5, and draw the zones where waves 3 and 5 are expected to reach on the chart.