Indicator that displays Elliott Wave counts, target values, and Fibonacci retracements

Proposing a New Concept Indicator for Discretionary Traders Who Have Not Yet Seen Results

 

Even if you’ve taken a position…

 

 

That doesn’t mean you should study either…

 

Because you’re tired from work
you can’t continue

You don’t have time
you can’t learn

 

 

Up to now you’ve tried indicators…

but nothing seems to fit

 

 

Ultimately, you want to trade with discretioninstead of a system

 

 

If you have these concerns

and aren’t achieving the results you want

The principle of market indicators

can meet your expectations.

 

Even beginners can, with this indicator, obtain technically correct exit scales

 

Ah, that moment when the “●●” you exited at suddenly extended this far…

 

Everyone has had such experience, right?

However, with a scale for exits backed by technical analysis,

those frustrating experiences will drastically decrease.

 

Also, with an indicator

you can acquire a consistent exit scaleand

the quality and efficiency of your validations improveand, as a result,

discretionary trading becomes easier to win..

 

So why?

Why are predictions using technical analysis consistently reproducible?

To put it bluntly, the answer is

 

Because technical analysis is

the statistics of behavior data driven by human instinct..

 

The exhilaration when you’ve made a lot of profit

the anxiety and fear as unrealized losses grow

the urge to lock in profits quickly

the rush to recover losses…

 

When people feel these emotions strongly,

instincts kick in and impulse-driven actions occur

and the probability becomes very high.

 

When a crush comes near during adolescence,

did you not act differently from usual?

 

You think you’re in control, but

you can’t help it.

 

That is

 

what we’ve collected as statistics on human instinct-driven action

Technical Analysis.

 

 

Even beginners can, with one click, know targets comparable to famous traders!

 

Here, what we mean by technical analysis is not

moving averages, RSI, MACD, or other technical indicators

but something broader.

Many people misunderstand this, but

technical analysis is only a small part

of technical analysis.

 

Technical analysis includes, besides indicators, support, resistance, trendlines, channels, chart patterns, Elliott wave, Fibonacci retracements, P&F charts, etc.

 

Among many technical analyses, if asked which could be a weapon for discretionary traders to win, I would answer without hesitation: Elliott Wave.

 

“Even if someone says Elliott Wave suddenly, I don’t understand.”

 

Among people here, some are hearing the term Elliott Wave for the first time, so here’s a quick explanation…

 

 

If you diagram the cycles of Elliott Waves, it looks like this.

＜Image of Elliott Wave

 

If you understand Elliott Wave, you can foresee the market’s rhythm such as

 

“The rise seems to stop soon and a correction is likely.”
“The correction seems to stop around here.”

 

andyou’ll know the rhythm of price movements in advance.

Also, to some extent,you’ll have a gauge for how far price will move.

 

When I posted on a major forum,

using Elliott Wave theory to predict,

I repeatedly forecast price moves accurately during live trading.

 

The reason price moves predictably was

that I discovered the wave rhythm law of Elliott Waves by chance

and understood it well..

 

However, those posts are now deleted, so I’ll share reviews from people who know those times.

 

 

Source: FX site GoGoJyan kinchanbbh3’s newsletter/review excerpts

(Stock-Measure is not currently sold.)

Note: Contents reflect personal opinions only.

 

 

Purchase of the market principles indicator

But the key is

the Elliott Wave law discovered by chance,

how much of the price movement you can understand?

Right?

 

 

 

Analysis of USD/KRW on February 18, 2020 (Tue)

 

 

The scene in this video ↓

 

After reaching the target,

On Twitter, we specifically predict the points where a pullback will occur with concrete numbers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As a result…

 

USD/KRW 1-hour chart after the video was posted

 

Also, an analysis one month later.

Analysis of USD/KRW on March 13, 2020 (Fri)

 

 

 

The result of this forecast…

 

 

Note: Contents reflect personal opinions only.

 

Since YouTube videos can’t be edited after upload, there’s no room for deception

.

 

Thisexits forecasting know-howisnot found anywhere on the internet

forbidden backstage techniques.

 

It is this high usability and reproducibilitythat makes my Elliott Wave theory know-how

able to output to a chart with one click

via a tool we developed.

 

 

 

and it can output not only Elliott Wave targets but also targets for chart patterns like flags and pennants and Fibonacci retracements.

 

Why I, a former Self-Defense Forces member, could achieve results with discretionary trading quickly

 

Discretionary trading cannot win

If you think that and are about to give up on winning,please read my experience.

 

 

 

For decades, from my teens to my forties,

I served in the Self-Defense Forces,
where harassment from supervisors worsened my depression,
and I abruptly retired from the military I had planned to serve until retirement.

I encountered a hostile supervisor via a transfer, and I unexpectedly left the force…

 

 

Even though government service had guaranteed stability until retirement,

 

the world is such that such things happen.

 

Ahead of you is a moment of darkness.

 

In such a situation where quitting would be understandable,

my wife supported me with a decision.

Not a tearjerker, but

if I don’t get motivated now, I’m not a man.

 

However, realistically I was a man in his forties with mental health concerns.

There are few companies willing to hire, and

I doubted whether I could adapt to an organization.

So I set my sights on day trading in stocks.

 

 

In fact, I’d been interested in stock investing since the military,

and my meticulous nature led me to study fundamentals intensely,

reading Zaї, Four-Season Reports, etc.,

 

and studying fundamental analysis rigorously.

 

Yet, even with good performing stocks,

the stock would drop due to “good news priced in,”

or rise despite “bad news priced in” due to issues in the earnings.

Every time analysts’ reports came out, it felt like they already knew the outcome in advance, leaving me puzzled about how they could be certain.

 

Being stubborn, I wanted to know why.

 

 

Thus, I learned that fundamental analysts prepare two reports in advance: one when earnings are good (to explain why stock rose), and one when earnings are good but the stock fell due to expectations, to explain why it dropped.

 

 

Even professionals who manage fundamentals sometimes don’t know whether prices will rise or fall

 

I shifted my focus to technical analysis for trading.

 

Trading became my vocation.

The market, if you do something reckless, will punish you with losses; if you work hard, it will reward you.

 

 

There’s no harassing boss, no complaining subordinates.

 

With family finances on the line, I studied for eight months and finally debuted as a discretionary trader.

 

Daily profits of 20,000 yen to 30,000 yen, sometimes equal to a month’s salary from my days as a sergeant.

 

But not everything went smoothly.

There was a time I got carried away.

 

I made about 20,000 yen in profit, finished a trade, and had spare time.

 

“If I make another 10,000, I’ll stop.”

 

I entered a stock that was a typical pump-and-dump, and I overtraded beyond the proper risk,

and I lost 1,000,000 yen in an instant,

and the profits I had built up disappeared in 10 minutes.

 

Inside me arose the thought,

“I want to bet big and quickly recover the losses.”

I realized this would become mere gambling, so I stepped back from the market and took a break, following the guidance of those who went before me.

 

I still wanted to trade, but

I accidentally discovered a certain regularity, and

I found the thrill of validating it every time,so I kept my distance from the market.

 

On a large forum, when I tried predicting price movements and posting, results were strikingly accurate..

 

● I had been keeping detailed trading logs and understood my own trading expectationsto be true.

● I took breaks during unfavorable periods and verified reproducible phenomenawith high repeatability

● I acquired, even if by chance, a highly reproducible skill.

 

 

My rapid success as a day trader, despite being a beginner, came from eight months of thoroughly absorbing the basics of technical analysis,

repeated validation to internalize it,

and the lucky discovery of a principle,

which was the result of those efforts.

In other words, by raising overall capability, you can win in the market.

 

 

 

 

A culmination of extraordinary effort and accidental encounters—this is the essence of the market principles indicator.

It isthe Market Principles Indicator.

 

Why this indicator overturns the conventional FX indicators! That is why it works! A new idea for indicators

 

Until now, indicators in the FX industry were focused on timing entries with arrows and exits with arrows—more precisely, indicator-focused on entries.Traditional indicator methodshad the advantage of being easy to understand, but

 

 

 

 

 

and as a result, if the indicator stopped working, you couldn’t win anymore.     Therefore, no matter how much you log your trading diary,you can’t know the expected value, and it’s hard for discretionary traders to sustain consistent wins.   NowIs automated trading—EAa solution? So, let’s consider an EA with a 99% win rate and a profit factor of 2.0..   Profit factor is a standard that measures total profits divided by total losses,and a value above 1.0 is a positive expectation, below 1.0 is negative.   out of 100 trades, 99 wins and 1 loss, with a profit of 20,000 yen and a loss of 10,000 yen This implies   a profit of 20,000 yen divided by 99 is about 202 yen per trade a loss of 10,000 yen divided by 1 is 10,000 yen per loss.   risk-reward is 1:0.0202.   This means you repeatedly take a risk of 10,000 yen to gain only about 202 yen.   Furthermore, in this kind of risk-reward trade,you need win rate above 99% to win.   95% win rate means 1 loss every 20 trades, so outcomes would be 19 wins and 1 loss. Then,total profit would be 202×19=3,838 yen, total loss 10,000×1=10,000 yen Thus,a useless EA that largely reduces capital.

 

 

 

 

In the new concept Market Principles Indicator,the first thing output is the exit point on the MT4 chart.   Moreover,and.     Professional traders prioritize risk control over win rate.   Becausethat increases the probability of profits remaining.   The table above shows win rates needed for a risk-reward ratio to be positive and negative.Risk-reward ratio is calculated as expected reward per winning trade divided by expected loss per losing trade,and values above 1.0 indicate rewards exceed risk.   If you control risk downward and increase reward,   you can achieve a win with a risk-reward ratio of 1.5 or higher, and a win rate of 40% or more can still yield a profit.   Additionally, the Market Principles Indicator will include a real-time display of risk-reward ratio as a bonusfor free.

 

When the target value is known, you know the risk-reward; when you know the risk-reward, you don’t get misled by the victory-talk

 

Do not be swept away by the word “win rate.”

As explained above,

you can win by taking a massive risk and receiving minuscule rewards, and anyone can do it.

That trade has almost no edge.

 

If your trading becomes sloppy and risk rises, the chance of winning decreases.

 

Therefore,recognize risk-reward clearly, improve trade quality,and

select high-expected-trade opportunities and adopt a 50-50 mindset as a shift in thinking.

 

The right image shows the performance I achieved on Twitter over a period of about 10 months, pre-announcing stock setups and exits before executing trades.

It was 227 trading days with 610 trades, which isn’t a huge number.

 

Win rate was 335-275, a win rate of 54.9%

 

Profit factor was 1.58.

 

However, with this relatively small number of trades and modest win rate, compounding would yield more than 10x in less than a year.

 

 

 

June 3, 2019: “Financial Commission Market Working Group Report, ‘Asset Formation and Management in an Aging Society’”states thatpension benefits leave a shortfall of about 50,000 yen per monthin retirement funds.

This implies that, if retirement lasts 20–30 years, you’d be short by1,300–2,000万円 in financial assets

.

 

 

 

Indeed, Japanese people must seriously consider asset formation, as longevity could become a risk.

Whether you want to work into your 70s, 80s, or 90s or live in comfort depends on building sufficient financial assets.

 

At minimum, you could not reach this level for the price of this indicator.

 

A New Type of Indicator with Potential Synergy with Quality Information Products

 

Market Principles Indicator does not, like many predecessors, focus on entry arrows and exit arrows in a time-series sequence.

Instead, it outputs exit points first, and then informs the entry decisions, a fundamentally opposite approach to traditional thinking that supports discretionary traders.

 

New Indicator

 

 

Why I Released the Market Principles Indicator

 

 

In the military, I studied tactics at the Officer Candidate School, but the entry point that was drilled into me was the principles of combat.

 

 

And similarly, the market also has principles.Whether in stock, FX, commodities, futures, or crypto, the principles hold.

 

 

Until recently I was a civil servant, virtually unknown in the trading world.

 

I bet on reproducibility of logic alone, and

 

 

 

Comments on YouTube, which have higher credibility than product reviews, show the value of the logic.

Note: Contents reflect personal opinions only.

 

 

Buttechnical analysis has gained citizen’s rights and spread worldwide over many years, and its reproducibility has not decreased.

 

With billions trading technically,the same logic remains.

Here, even hundreds, thousands, or tens of thousands using this logic will not change anything.

 

 

 

 

 

In our newsletter used by many, high accuracy every issue

 

◆ USD/JPY 4-hour pre-output target

◆ USD/JPY 4-hour result: 108.352→109.720

Note: Tools shown in images are EA using the same calculation logic, not the Market Principles Indicator.

 

 

Pound-Yen moved significantly with Brexijud

 

◆ GBP/JPY 15-minute pre-output target

◆ GBP/JPY 15-minute result: 136.200→147.945

Note: Tools shown in images are EA using the same calculation logic, not the Market Principles Indicator.

 

 

 

 

Regarding newsletter reviews, many parts use Market Principles Indicator for price movement forecasts.

 

 

 

Trading example using Elliott Wave third-wave targets

 

 

(Stock-Measure is a prior generation of Market Principles Indicator; LINE message from a Stock-Measure user.)

 

Discretionary Trader Support Features No.1

 

◆ Output Elliott Wave targets with one click! Just click the starting candle of the Elliott Wave, and instantly output Waves 1–5, and draw the zone where Waves 3 and 5 are expected to reach on the chart. Provides stable and consistent exit, risk-reward, and expectancy scales for discretionary trading.