Heading toward 120 JPY per USD by the end of 2017!

The plum blossoms are blooming while enduring the cold wind.

Soon the cherry blossoms will also start to bloom, right?

In the foreign exchange market, in the early spring, USD/JPY is expected to move mainly within a range of roughly 110 to 116 yen, showing a corrective pattern.

In the latter half of this year, USD/JPY might reach 120 yen.

There are several reasons that could support this.

1. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) may raise rates twice a year

Fed Chair Yellen spoke on January 18 and testified before Congress on February 14, and even from the chair’s generally doveish stance, a positive attitude toward rate hikes is evident.

Also, the March U.S. employment data were strong.

2. Trump administration and Japan relations

The Japan-U.S. summit has reconfirmed the commitment to use a three-pronged approach of mutually reinforcing fiscal, monetary, and structural policies to strengthen domestic and global demand.

This may help avoid Trump’s criticisms of weakening the yen.

3. U.S. Treasury Secretary

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has said things like “in the long run, a stronger dollar is important.” He is someone who can steer while grasping the overall picture of the exchange market.

This year, while keeping an eye on various elections in Europe, USD/JPY is expected to head toward 120 yen in the latter half of the year.

Buying USD/JPY now and waiting until the yen weakens could be a good long-term strategy.

Convert your yen into dollars now and settle when it reaches 120 yen.
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＊Be mindful of sudden yen appreciation caused by unexpected natural disasters or financial shocks.