Easy! High win rate! High reproducibility! RCI Trade Market Analysis 2026/10/27
"RCI Trading on stock price index" is a simple, high win-rate, and highly reproducible trading method.
By trading according to the rules, anyone can easily reproduce the trades described in this article.
For details, please follow the links below!
Easy, high win-rate, high reproducibility! RCI Trade
1. S&P 500
① Market tone and price movement outlook
The U.S. stock market remains in a solid tone with an eye toward the high price range.While watching major companies' earnings releases and interest rate trends, buying on dips remains strong, and prices continue to advance from lower levels.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: +50 to +70 vicinity
Daily RCI 52: +40 to +60 vicinity
【Forecast】 Since the short-term line is approaching high levels, a temporary minor pullback (dip) may occur, but as the medium-term line remains upward, the outlook is that it will stay within a healthy pullback range.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [Buy (long) waiting / monitoring]
Action: Since prices are currently in the high zone, avoid new positions; when daily RCI 9 dips and then drops below -80 and subsequently moves above -80 again to confirm (golden cross), execute a new buy entry. Profit-taking occurs when daily RCI 9 or RCI 26 reaches "+80".
2. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
① Market tone and price movement outlook
Capital flows into economically sensitive and defensive stocks, showing a steady, solid uptrend. Volatility is lower than in tech stocks, forming a steady upward trend.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: +30 to +60 vicinity
Daily RCI 52: +30 to +50 vicinity
【Forecast】 Since overheating is not too strong, in the coming days both indicators are expected to have room to rise, maintaining a stable trajectory.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [Buy (long) continuation / dip-buying preparation]
Action: The recent dip is being reversed. If you already hold a position, continue to hold until +80 is reached. For new entries, wait for a deeper pullback in the short term (RCI 9 dipping toward -80) or confirm a rebound from a small pullback, and then enter. The exit is at "+80".
3. NASDAQ 100
① Market tone and price movement outlook
Semiconductor and AI-related stocks show high volatility. While digesting temporary profit-taking, strong buying supports the downside, proving the strength of the trend.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: -30 to +20 vicinity (rebound from a pullback)
Daily RCI 52: +20 to +40 vicinity
【Forecast】 After the recent rally (pullback), the movement to test higher prices is expected to strengthen again. The medium-term line is more likely to function as support.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [New buy (long) opportunity watch]
Action: It is a phase where the daily RCI 9 is recovering from oversold (-80 or below). It tends to trigger an ideal dip-buy signal, and when conditions are met, enter a new buy. Take profits when daily RCI 9/26 reaches +80.
4. Nikkei Stock Average (Nikkei 225)
① Market tone and price movement outlook
With favorable currency moves and steady U.S. stocks, buybacks dominate, pushing prices higher from the high range. Foreign investor inflows are also supporting the downside.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: +40 to +65 vicinity
Daily RCI 52: 0 to +30 vicinity
【Forecast】 Mid-term line in positive territory, suggesting a market environment where medium-to-long-term upside momentum functions well.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [Dip-buying target]
Action: Do not chase from the current level; wait for daily RCI 9 to dip once and approach -80 or dip below and form a breakout signal to the upside, then buy on the signal, and take profits when +80 is reached.
5. Dow Jones, Euro Stoxx 50
① Market tone and price movement outlook
Caution about Europe’s economy and ECB's ease stance are mixed, leading to a somewhat directionless range bound movement. Sector-by-sector differentiation remains strong.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: -20 to +20 vicinity (neutral)
Daily RCI 52: -10 to +10 vicinity
【Forecast】 Since there is no clear trend in either direction, the range-bound movement is expected to continue for the time being.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [Watchful waiting (signal waiting)]
Action: Trendless, avoid entering in halfway positions. Wait until daily RCI 9 clearly drops below -80 and then signals an upside breakout, and only then aim for a small price move with buys (exit at +80).
6. Germany DAX40
① Market tone and price movement outlook
Among European markets, it is relatively strong, supported by earnings expectations of major global companies, showing a solid trend. It tends to attract buying as a European benchmark.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: +50 to +75 vicinity
Daily RCI 52: +20 to +40 vicinity
【Forecast】 Since prices continue at high levels, a minor pullback around the top for RCI 9 is likely in the near term.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [Dip-buying preparation period]
Action: Because prices are high, it is prudent to restrain new buying. As the stock price adjusts and daily RCI 9 drops toward -80, wait for the breakout to pull back and then buy, and take profits at +80.
7. France CAC40
① Market tone and price movement outlook
Political and fiscal uncertainties, concerns about demand for luxury brands, and other headwinds contribute to a slower rebound and heavier resistance compared with major Western indices.
② Daily RCI levels and future forecast
Daily RCI 9: -40 to -10 vicinity
Daily RCI 52: -30 to 0 vicinity
【Forecast】 The mid-term line remains in negative territory, suggesting the trend will stay with a heavy headwind, likely preventing a strong upside move.
③ Buy/sell perspective according to the RCI trading method
Perspective: [Cautious stance - selective contrarian buying]
Action: In this strategy focusing on buy signals, CAC40's medium-term weakness often becomes noise, so generally avoid. If you do target, restrict to situations where daily RCI 9 is completely below -80 and forms a bottom breakout with a strong move upwards, and, without being greedy, exit at +80.