【Path to Dreams_FX_Primary Currencies_Market Environment Recognition_and_Notes_20261025】
【Trace to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Recognition and Memo_20261025】
October 25, Sunday.
Hello
There were clear spells in the morning,
but as forecast, it becomes cloudy from the afternoon.
From now on, rain is likely to come.
Somehow, before it starts raining,
I would like to accumulate some trading activity.
Now, from tomorrow the last week of the month begins.
I don’t know what kind of movements will occur,
so I would like to avoid holding positions as much as possible.
.
I would like to try to not hold positions as much as possible.
That being said,
I would like to check the daily movements.
Now, let's verify.
The figures are at the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 18th bar / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 76 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 8th bar / 3
4HC: 1st cycle, 44th bar / 12
We see it this way.
Weekly volatility is small,
so it seems unsuitable as a trading currency.
Technically, while maintaining an up-tone,
I want to confirm the movement of the U.S. dollar.
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 26th bar
Weekly: 4th cycle, 7th bar / 3 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th bar / 12LT
Weekly volatility: 252 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 55th bar / 23LT or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 34th bar / 13
4HC: 5th or 3rd cycle, 42nd bar / 19LT
We see it this way.
Month-end flow seems likely to be involved,
so it’s hard to say up or down.
However, since the 4HC starting point has broken,
the downside is more likely.
We also want to clearly verify moving averages.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 18th bar / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 122 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 8th bar / 7
4HC: 1st cycle, 44th bar / 35
We see it this way.
As the 4-hour EMA200 has risen above,
we consider it a daily chart reversal.
How high it will rise seems to be the key point.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 27th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th bar / 13LT
Weekly volatility: 282 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 60th bar / 15LT or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 30th bar / 5LT
4HC: 2nd or 5th cycle, 88th bar / 8LT
We see it this way.
Whether the 4HC milestone has already arrived
or not yet is a major difference in view.
In the medium to long term, a downside view remains,
This is how we see it.In the mid to long term, it will be downwards,
and it may trace a bearish candle in line with the USD/JPY decline.and in step with the USD/JPY decline,
a bearish candlestick might form?
We think so.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 27nd bar / 24
Weekly: 4th cycle, 26th bar / 12
Weekly volatility: 275 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 18th bar / 17 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 60th bar / 17
4HC: 5th or 2nd cycle, 43rd bar / 30
We see it this way.
Even if we take the daily as the usual MC
or as HPC
it still seems bearish.
If the current 4HC starts to break the starting point
there could be a large bearish candle, in our view.
We think so.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 12th bar / 4
Weekly volatility: 181 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 60th bar / 20LT or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 7th bar / 6
4HC: 5th or 1st cycle, 38th bar / 25
We see it this way.
Since the weekly starting point differs from other cross-yen pairs,
we consider it generally a lagging currency.
In a risk-off situation,
dollar and yen strengthen
and commodity currencies are sold,
prioritizing that scenario.
That said, since it’s month-end,
I want to trade cautiously and within reason.
*****************************
DXY 101.751 +0.13%
US10Y 4.999 +0.77%
DJI 52220 points -653
US500 -0.36%
WTI 104.881 dollars
BRN 116.72 dollars
Nikkei 225 62692 yen -214
****************************
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
Let us learn together.
No-bito-rei
October 25, Sunday.
Hello
There were clear spells in the morning,
but as forecast, it becomes cloudy from the afternoon.
From now on, rain is likely to come.
Somehow, before it starts raining,
I would like to accumulate some trading activity.
Now, from tomorrow the last week of the month begins.
I don’t know what kind of movements will occur,
so I would like to avoid holding positions as much as possible.
.
I would like to try to not hold positions as much as possible.
That being said,
I would like to check the daily movements.
Now, let's verify.
The figures are at the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 18th bar / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 76 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 8th bar / 3
4HC: 1st cycle, 44th bar / 12
We see it this way.
Weekly volatility is small,
so it seems unsuitable as a trading currency.
Technically, while maintaining an up-tone,
I want to confirm the movement of the U.S. dollar.
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 26th bar
Weekly: 4th cycle, 7th bar / 3 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th bar / 12LT
Weekly volatility: 252 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 55th bar / 23LT or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 34th bar / 13
4HC: 5th or 3rd cycle, 42nd bar / 19LT
We see it this way.
Month-end flow seems likely to be involved,
so it’s hard to say up or down.
However, since the 4HC starting point has broken,
the downside is more likely.
We also want to clearly verify moving averages.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 18th bar / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 122 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 8th bar / 7
4HC: 1st cycle, 44th bar / 35
We see it this way.
As the 4-hour EMA200 has risen above,
we consider it a daily chart reversal.
How high it will rise seems to be the key point.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 27th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th bar / 13LT
Weekly volatility: 282 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 60th bar / 15LT or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 30th bar / 5LT
4HC: 2nd or 5th cycle, 88th bar / 8LT
We see it this way.
Whether the 4HC milestone has already arrived
or not yet is a major difference in view.
In the medium to long term, a downside view remains,
This is how we see it.In the mid to long term, it will be downwards,
and it may trace a bearish candle in line with the USD/JPY decline.and in step with the USD/JPY decline,
a bearish candlestick might form?
We think so.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 27nd bar / 24
Weekly: 4th cycle, 26th bar / 12
Weekly volatility: 275 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 18th bar / 17 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 60th bar / 17
4HC: 5th or 2nd cycle, 43rd bar / 30
We see it this way.
Even if we take the daily as the usual MC
or as HPC
it still seems bearish.
If the current 4HC starts to break the starting point
there could be a large bearish candle, in our view.
We think so.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 12th bar / 4
Weekly volatility: 181 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 60th bar / 20LT or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 7th bar / 6
4HC: 5th or 1st cycle, 38th bar / 25
We see it this way.
Since the weekly starting point differs from other cross-yen pairs,
we consider it generally a lagging currency.
In a risk-off situation,
dollar and yen strengthen
and commodity currencies are sold,
prioritizing that scenario.
That said, since it’s month-end,
I want to trade cautiously and within reason.
*****************************
DXY 101.751 +0.13%
US10Y 4.999 +0.77%
DJI 52220 points -653
US500 -0.36%
WTI 104.881 dollars
BRN 116.72 dollars
Nikkei 225 62692 yen -214
****************************
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
Let us learn together.
No-bito-rei