【Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20261018】
【Trajectory to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Recognition and Memo_20261018】
October 18, Sunday.
Hello
Today is sunny and clear.
At the local autumn festival, it was very crowded yesterday as well.
I walked there as a stroll,
there is power when people gather.
I want to be careful about influenza though.
This morning there was a slight chill, so
I will pay attention to health management.
Now, about the charts,
I feel the dollar strength has finally turned around.
For a while, I expect the USD to be sold off.
Now, let's confirm.
The numbers are at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 22nd candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 17th candle / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 156 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 3rd candle
4HC: 1st cycle, 14th candle / 12
I interpret it as such.
Starting from the daily chart with 1.112 as the base, I am counting the candles.
Thanks to CPI impact,
the daily chart seems to have turned.
It was also possible that the 4HC 1st candle start would break,
but
with the bullish candles on the 15th and 16th last week,
even from a bullish perspective it looks like a chart you can be confident in.
*****************************
20261018_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/omEFx7Ok2oI
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 26th candle
Weekly: 4th cycle, 6th candle / 3 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 24th candle / 12LT
Weekly volatility: 140 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 29th candle / 13 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 55th candle / 23LT
4HC: 4th or 2nd cycle, 77th candle / 64
I interpret it as such.
This is a 4-hour chart forming a sideways range.
Until now, USD strength kept USD/JPY flat,
the cross-yen was more active on downside, but
going forward, dollar strength is more likely to rise
and USD/JPY downside may activate
causing the cross-yen to range
so I want to focus on USD/JPY movements.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 22nd candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 17th candle / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 234 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 3rd candle / 3
4HC: 1st cycle, 14th candle / 13
I interpret it as such.
Similar to EUR/USD,
I consider the daily chart to have turned.
On the 4-hour chart, it has crossed above the EMA200
so I believe there is no mistake.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 27th candle / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 24th candle / 13LT
Weekly volatility: 167 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 55th candle / 15LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 77th candle / 8LT
I interpret it as such.
The rise in EUR/USD has influenced EUR/JPY as well,
and it seems a bullish candle formed toward the weekend.
From a technical standpoint,
I expect there may be a drop in the coming bearish candles.
I think so.
Which means USD/JPY decline would be a prerequisite.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 27th candle / 24
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th candle / 12
Weekly volatility: 260 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2nd, 55th candle / 17LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 77th candle / 76
I interpret it as such.
Supported by the rise in GBP/USD,
GBP/JPY has also surpassed the 4-hour EMA200.
If USD/JPY does not form a bearish candle,
the HPC scenario does not move toward a closing direction.
With GBP/USD and USD/JPY at odds,
there is a high likelihood of offsetting moves.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th candle / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 11th candle / 4
Weekly volatility: 249 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 55th candle / 20LT or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th candle / 10
4HC: 4th cycle, 68th candle / 54 or
4HC: 5th cycle, 8th candle / 6
I interpret it as such.
It is a quite difficult chart.
Where the weekly chart, a higher timeframe, closes will be key.
However, the rise of AUD/USD is correlated with US stock gains,
so if US stocks start to decline,
AUD/USD would plunge,
the dollar would rise,
and AUD/USD would form bearish candles.
If USD/JPY also forms bearish candles,
AUD/JPY would have synergy
and a potential major crash could unfold.
*****************************
20261018_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/omEFx7Ok2oI
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 101.779 -0.22%
US10Y 5.081 +0.04%
DJI 52007 points -176
US500 -1.04%
WTI 100.964 USD
BRN 109.86 USD
Nikkei 225 65,324 yen as of 10:00
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL:
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Nobitorei
October 18, Sunday.
Hello
Today is sunny and clear.
At the local autumn festival, it was very crowded yesterday as well.
I walked there as a stroll,
there is power when people gather.
I want to be careful about influenza though.
This morning there was a slight chill, so
I will pay attention to health management.
Now, about the charts,
I feel the dollar strength has finally turned around.
For a while, I expect the USD to be sold off.
Now, let's confirm.
The numbers are at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 22nd candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 17th candle / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 156 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 3rd candle
4HC: 1st cycle, 14th candle / 12
I interpret it as such.
Starting from the daily chart with 1.112 as the base, I am counting the candles.
Thanks to CPI impact,
the daily chart seems to have turned.
It was also possible that the 4HC 1st candle start would break,
but
with the bullish candles on the 15th and 16th last week,
even from a bullish perspective it looks like a chart you can be confident in.
*****************************
20261018_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/omEFx7Ok2oI
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 26th candle
Weekly: 4th cycle, 6th candle / 3 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 24th candle / 12LT
Weekly volatility: 140 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 29th candle / 13 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 55th candle / 23LT
4HC: 4th or 2nd cycle, 77th candle / 64
I interpret it as such.
This is a 4-hour chart forming a sideways range.
Until now, USD strength kept USD/JPY flat,
the cross-yen was more active on downside, but
going forward, dollar strength is more likely to rise
and USD/JPY downside may activate
causing the cross-yen to range
so I want to focus on USD/JPY movements.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 22nd candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 17th candle / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 234 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 3rd candle / 3
4HC: 1st cycle, 14th candle / 13
I interpret it as such.
Similar to EUR/USD,
I consider the daily chart to have turned.
On the 4-hour chart, it has crossed above the EMA200
so I believe there is no mistake.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 27th candle / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 24th candle / 13LT
Weekly volatility: 167 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 55th candle / 15LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 77th candle / 8LT
I interpret it as such.
The rise in EUR/USD has influenced EUR/JPY as well,
and it seems a bullish candle formed toward the weekend.
From a technical standpoint,
I expect there may be a drop in the coming bearish candles.
I think so.
Which means USD/JPY decline would be a prerequisite.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 27th candle / 24
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th candle / 12
Weekly volatility: 260 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2nd, 55th candle / 17LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 77th candle / 76
I interpret it as such.
Supported by the rise in GBP/USD,
GBP/JPY has also surpassed the 4-hour EMA200.
If USD/JPY does not form a bearish candle,
the HPC scenario does not move toward a closing direction.
With GBP/USD and USD/JPY at odds,
there is a high likelihood of offsetting moves.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th candle / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 11th candle / 4
Weekly volatility: 249 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 55th candle / 20LT or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th candle / 10
4HC: 4th cycle, 68th candle / 54 or
4HC: 5th cycle, 8th candle / 6
I interpret it as such.
It is a quite difficult chart.
Where the weekly chart, a higher timeframe, closes will be key.
However, the rise of AUD/USD is correlated with US stock gains,
so if US stocks start to decline,
AUD/USD would plunge,
the dollar would rise,
and AUD/USD would form bearish candles.
If USD/JPY also forms bearish candles,
AUD/JPY would have synergy
and a potential major crash could unfold.
*****************************
20261018_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/omEFx7Ok2oI
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 101.779 -0.22%
US10Y 5.081 +0.04%
DJI 52007 points -176
US500 -1.04%
WTI 100.964 USD
BRN 109.86 USD
Nikkei 225 65,324 yen as of 10:00
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL:
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Nobitorei