Stock Talk 14th Market: Nikkei 225 futures outlook [The mood to test a rebound is ready; next depends on ASML's earnings after the 13th decline]
Hello! This is SakaGu from the Stock Talk.
Today’s main points of focus (14th in Tokyo), headlines to watch, and what to consider as today's musts
Caution around the US September CPI and higher crude oil prices (stagflation concerns)
Tonight’s US September CPI is expected to accelerate to +3.6% year over year (from +3.4% prior month)
WTI crude futures rising to $94.72 per barrel (+$0.58) and the average U.S. gasoline price moving to $4.34 per gallon (vs. $3.08 a year ago),
raising awareness of lingering inflation and the risk of a rebound in U.S. long-term interest rates (currently 5.213%)
Intensifying competition in the semiconductor and memory markets and valuation adjustments
Concerns about China’s CXMT plans to release new chips within the year and an AI investment bubble triggered a 5.5% plunge in the Korean KOSPI yesterday (6,035.35).
In New York, the declines in Applied Materials (-6.69%) and Micron (-3.62%) continue to pose a risk of lingering momentum in Asian trading hours as well.
Regulatory penalties on U.S. major financial institutions and high earnings hurdles