[Path to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Recognition & Memo_20261011]
【Dream toward the FX main currency market environment awareness and notes 20261011】
October 11th, it is Sunday.
Hello
Today also looks like a clear day with no rain.
Since sunrise is around 5:30 AM,
getting up early will be very dark.
From now on, it will gradually get colder.
I want to be careful with my health.
The yen appreciation trend seems likely
for the week of the 12th this week.
USD/JPY in the Tokyo market on the 13th (Tuesday) will
likely rise.
Well then, let's confirm.
These are the numbers at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th bar / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 115 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 5th bar
4HC: 1st cycle, 29th bar / 9
That is how I see it.
I view the daily chart as having switched.
The dollar is being sold,
but France's fiscal problems are also coming to light
so there seems to be a long path to Euro strength.
Considering euro weakening,
the dollar weakness and euro weakness may occur
leading to a high likelihood of a range.
*****************************
20261011_FX_MarketEnvironment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/bEVEqoJoYmg
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 26th bar
Weekly: 4th cycle, 5th / 3 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 23rd bar / 12LT
Weekly volatility: 107 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 24th bar / 13 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 50th bar / 23LT
4HC: 4th or 2nd cycle, 47th bar / 31
That is how I see it.
Technically, I think the HPC is likely.
Going forward, will it move to target the 152 yen area?
Is there a possibility of dollar strength and yen strength?
That will be the key.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th bar / 9
Weekly volatility: 101 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 7th bar / 4
4HC: 1st cycle, 37th bar / 18
That is how I see it.
Similar to EUR/USD,
I view the daily chart as having switched.
Whether the EMA75 on the 4-hour chart will be crossed is the key.
Since I consider this as 4HC 1,
the outlook is bullish, but weekly volatility is small,
so it may be better not to force it.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 27th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 23rd bar / 13LT
Weekly volatility: 212 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 50th bar / 15LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 47th bar / 8LT
That is how I see it.
France's fiscal problems are causing large swings.
Ultimately, since this is a cross-yen pair resulting from USD/JPY and EUR/USD multiplication,
even if EUR/USD is bullish technically,
dollar weakness and euro weakness won't move it much, so
I want to watch the future movement of USD/JPY.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 27th bar / 24
Weekly: 4th cycle, 23rd bar / 12
Weekly volatility: 310 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2, 45th bar / 17LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 47th bar / 30
That is how I see it.
It will depend on USD/JPY.
Since daily is expected to break lower,
there is a high likelihood of continuing bearish candles.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th bar / 4
Weekly volatility: 121 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 50th bar / 20LT or
Daily: 2nd or 1st, 7th bar / 7
4HC: 4th or 1st cycle, 38th bar / 38
That is how I view it.
In risk-on scenarios, AUD buys and US stocks rise,
leading to AUD buying pressure
and if AUD/USD falls sharply,
it could lead to a large move.
However, if the daily is considered young, the outlook becomes bullish, but
if the daily continues and HPC is present,
*****************************
20261011_FX_MarketEnvironment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/bEVEqoJoYmg
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 102.232 +0.12%
US10Y 5.242 +0.13%
DJI 51,660 dollars +423
US500 +0.6%
WTI 93.113 dollars
BRN 103.87 dollars
Nikkei 225 69,030 yen -11
****************************
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Non-botched
October 11th, it is Sunday.
Hello
Today also looks like a clear day with no rain.
Since sunrise is around 5:30 AM,
getting up early will be very dark.
From now on, it will gradually get colder.
I want to be careful with my health.
The yen appreciation trend seems likely
for the week of the 12th this week.
USD/JPY in the Tokyo market on the 13th (Tuesday) will
likely rise.
Well then, let's confirm.
These are the numbers at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th bar / 9LT
Weekly volatility: 115 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 5th bar
4HC: 1st cycle, 29th bar / 9
That is how I see it.
I view the daily chart as having switched.
The dollar is being sold,
but France's fiscal problems are also coming to light
so there seems to be a long path to Euro strength.
Considering euro weakening,
the dollar weakness and euro weakness may occur
leading to a high likelihood of a range.
*****************************
20261011_FX_MarketEnvironment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/bEVEqoJoYmg
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 26th bar
Weekly: 4th cycle, 5th / 3 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 23rd bar / 12LT
Weekly volatility: 107 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 24th bar / 13 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 50th bar / 23LT
4HC: 4th or 2nd cycle, 47th bar / 31
That is how I see it.
Technically, I think the HPC is likely.
Going forward, will it move to target the 152 yen area?
Is there a possibility of dollar strength and yen strength?
That will be the key.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 22nd bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th bar / 9
Weekly volatility: 101 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 7th bar / 4
4HC: 1st cycle, 37th bar / 18
That is how I see it.
Similar to EUR/USD,
I view the daily chart as having switched.
Whether the EMA75 on the 4-hour chart will be crossed is the key.
Since I consider this as 4HC 1,
the outlook is bullish, but weekly volatility is small,
so it may be better not to force it.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 27th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 23rd bar / 13LT
Weekly volatility: 212 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 50th bar / 15LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 47th bar / 8LT
That is how I see it.
France's fiscal problems are causing large swings.
Ultimately, since this is a cross-yen pair resulting from USD/JPY and EUR/USD multiplication,
even if EUR/USD is bullish technically,
dollar weakness and euro weakness won't move it much, so
I want to watch the future movement of USD/JPY.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 27th bar / 24
Weekly: 4th cycle, 23rd bar / 12
Weekly volatility: 310 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2, 45th bar / 17LT
4HC: 4th cycle, 47th bar / 30
That is how I see it.
It will depend on USD/JPY.
Since daily is expected to break lower,
there is a high likelihood of continuing bearish candles.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th bar / 4
Weekly volatility: 121 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 50th bar / 20LT or
Daily: 2nd or 1st, 7th bar / 7
4HC: 4th or 1st cycle, 38th bar / 38
That is how I view it.
In risk-on scenarios, AUD buys and US stocks rise,
leading to AUD buying pressure
and if AUD/USD falls sharply,
it could lead to a large move.
However, if the daily is considered young, the outlook becomes bullish, but
if the daily continues and HPC is present,
*****************************
20261011_FX_MarketEnvironment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/bEVEqoJoYmg
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 102.232 +0.12%
US10Y 5.242 +0.13%
DJI 51,660 dollars +423
US500 +0.6%
WTI 93.113 dollars
BRN 103.87 dollars
Nikkei 225 69,030 yen -11
****************************
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Non-botched