October 5th (delivered on the 4th) 225 futures and special report 【Assumed range, rising/falling scenario, outlook, price target】
Nikkei 225 futures: Outlook for the 5th and Price Target
Intraday trade checklist items・Key confirmations
Most important items to confirm before the close on the 5th and during intraday trading
Around the market open,Maintain between 69,610 and 69,650 yen, and see if the Overnight VWAP provides support at the low end.
Can it recover to 69,850 yen, and after breaking through 70,190 yen, will it continue to hold the 70,000 level without turning down?
Will a dip form at 69,030 yen? A break below 68,880 yen would invalidate the short-term bullish outlook.
Is there a rise above 5.288% in the U.S. 10-year yield, excessive yen appreciation, or a stall after the memory stocks open?
Breakout lines / Target for upside and downside (scenario-based target summaries)
(*Numbers are based on the 5th-day big board close and after-hours settled values)
Upside/DownsideBreaks A⇒B⇒C⇒D and E⇒F⇒G⇒H, with each step used as a reference for buying when price advances, and for selling or opposite trades when price retreats.